Table S2.
Study 1 multinomial regression results with Hillary Clinton as the base outcome
Vote for Donald Trump | Vote for neither | |||
Variable | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
Constant | 5.315*** | 4.281*** | 4.136*** | 3.153*** |
(0.867) | (0.97) | (0.708) | (0.792) | |
Controls | ||||
Gender†,‡ | −0.524* | −0.501* | −0.302 | −0.284 |
(0.256) | (0.26) | (0.199) | (0.201) | |
Age† | 0.019 | 0.018 | −0.006 | −0.006 |
(0.012) | (0.012) | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
Income† | −0.09 | −0.057 | −0.180** | −0.151* |
(0.081) | (0.083) | (0.068) | (0.069) | |
Duration living in the zip code† | −0.038 | −0.037 | −0.117 | −0.117 |
(0.106) | (0.107) | (0.079) | (0.08) | |
Liberal† | −1.214*** | −1.215*** | −0.629*** | −0.629*** |
(0.093) | (0.093) | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
Total population§ | −0.000 | −0.000 | −0.000 | −0.000 |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
Population density§ | 0.006 | −0.02 | 0.082 | 0.058 |
(0.139) | (0.141) | (0.109) | (0.11) | |
No. of zips in the county§ | −0.000 | 0.000 | −0.002 | −0.001 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | |
Independent variable | ||||
Economic uncertainty§ | 4.51* | 4.27** | ||
(1.96) | (1.60) | |||
N | 750 | 750 | 750 | 750 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.222 | 0.227 | 0.222 | 0.227 |
P values: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001. SEs are shown in parentheses.
Measures self-reported by participants.
Categorical variable (1 = male, 2 = female).
Measures obtained from the external economic database.