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. 2017 May 23;2(7):e307–e313. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30091-9

Table 2.

Projected number of disease-related disability cases (in thousands) by age in 2015 and 2025 in England and Wales

2015 2025 Relative change between 2015 and 2025 (%)
≥65 years old
CVD-related disability 588 (576 to 599) 527 (505 to 547) −10·3% (−13·6 to 7·3)
Dementia-related disability 468 (447 to 491) 699 (654 to 745) 49·1% (41·5 to 56·2)
Dementia and CVD-related disability 177 (171 to 183) 191 (178 to 203) 7·7% (1·3 to 14·0)
Other disease-related disability 1018 (995 to 1041) 1395 (1355 to 1440) 37·1% (34·3 to 39·8)
65 to 84 years old
CVD-related disability 419 (410 to 428) 348 (335 to 363) −16·9% (−19·8 to 3·9)
Dementia-related disability 289 (269 to 309) 405 (374 to 436) 40·3% (34·7 to 46·3)
Dementia and CVD-related disability 84 (79 to 88) 79 (73 to 85) −5·3% (−10·8 to 0·7)
Other disease-related disability 900 (879 to 921) 1177 (1145 to 1213) 30·9% (28·5 to 33·1)
≥85 years old
CVD -related disability 168 (163 to 174) 179 (166 to 190) 6·0% (−0·8 to 12·6)
Dementia-related disability 179 (171 to 188) 293 (267 to 320) 63·1% (50·7 to 76·5)
Dementia and CVD-related disability 93 (89 to 97) 111 (102 to 120) 19·3% (9·8 to 29·0)
Other disease-related disability 118 (111 to 126) 217 (200 to 235) 84·2% (74·6 to 94·2)

Data in parentheses are 95% uncertainty intervals. CVD=cardiovascular disease.