Table 3.
Response variable | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Explanatory variable | Estimate | Std. Error | z value | P value |
(a) Lay date (poisson GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 3.47 | 0.05 | 72.17 | <0.001 |
(b) Clutch size (poisson GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 2.59 | 0.18 | 14.17 | <0.001 |
Lay date | −0.01 | 0.01 | −2.33 | 0.020 |
(c) Hatch date (poisson GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 3.70 | 0.08 | 44.43 | <0.001 |
Lay date | 0.01 | <0.00 | 4.91 | <0.001 |
(d) Hatching success (binomial GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 1.25 | 0.85 | 1.47 | 0.141 |
Site | −0.55 | 0.23 | −2.36 | 0.018 |
(e) Fledging success (binomial GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 11.43 | 2.03 | 5.62 | <0.001 |
Site | −5.95 | 1.02 | −5.85 | <0.001 |
(f) Number of fledglings (poisson GLM) | ||||
Intercept | 2.68 | 0.15 | 17.99 | <0.001 |
Site | −1.01 | 0.10 | −10.14 | <0.001 |
(g) Nestling body mass at day 13 (LMM) | ||||
Intercept | 12.11 | 0.35 | 34.26 | <0.001 |
Site | −0.91 | 0.20 | −4.49 | <0.001 |
(f) Adult body mass (LMM) | ||||
Intercept | 11.27 | 0.48 | 23.22 | <0.001 |
Lay date, clutch size, hatch date and number of fledglings were modelled with a Poisson error structure, hatching success (number of hatchlings over laid eggs) and fledging success (number of fledglings over number of hatchlings), were modelled with a binomial error structure, while adult and nestling body mass were modelled with a Gaussian error structure in LMMs with nestbox included as random factor. Site was included in all models as main fixed effect, whereas date of first egg of each nest was included as covariate to control for seasonal variation in reproductive timing and body mass (except for the model testing for variation in lay date across sites). For adult body mass, sex was also included as fixed factor. These were dropped if not significant via backward selection (only significant variables are shown).