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. 2017 Jul 10;7:5022. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-05185-4

Table 1.

Parameter estimates for basic reproduction number (R 0) model.

Parameter Description Point Estimates (range) References
a 18 Daily biting rate at 18 °C 0.14 (0.12–0.16) 41, 62
a 23 Daily biting rate at 23 °C 0.17 (0.15–0.19) 41, 62
a 28 Daily biting rate at 28 °C 0.20 (0.17–0.23) 41, 62
b Transmission probability mosquito to bird 0.80 24, 63
c p18 Transmission probability bird to pipiens at 18 °C 0.04 (0.00–0.07) 20
c p23 Transmission probability bird to pipiens at 23 °C 0.09 (0.01–0.17) 20
c p28 Transmission probability bird to pipiens at 28 °C 0.34 (0.20–0.48) 20
c m18 Transmission probability bird to molestus at 18 °C 0.09 (0.01–0.17) 20
c m23 Transmission probability bird to molestus at 23 °C 0.13 (0.03–0.22) 20
c m28 Transmission probability bird to molestus at 28 °C 0.13 (0.03–0.22) 20
c h18 Transmission probability bird to hybrid at 18 °C 0.05 (0.00–0.11) 20
c h23 Transmission probability bird to hybrid at 23 °C 0.04 (0.00–0.07) 20
c h28 Transmission probability bird to hybrid at 28 °C 0.17 (0.06–0.27) 20
1/rb Number of days a bird remains infectious 5.50 16, 17
EIP18 Extrinsic incubation period at 18 °C (days) 15 (12–18) 64
EIP23 Extrinsic incubation period at 23 °C (days) 9 (7–11) 18, 64
EIP28 Extrinsic incubation period at 28 °C (days) 4 (3–5) 64
p 18 Daily survival probability at 18 °C 0.97 (0.96–0.98) 42, 65
p 23 Daily survival probability at 23 °C 0.96 (0.95–0.97) 42, 65
p 28 Daily survival probability at 28 °C 0.95 (0.94–0.96) 42, 65
ϕ p Host preference pipiens 1-(1-FB)2.75 14, 15
ϕ m Host preference molestus FB2.75 14, 15
ϕ h Host preference hybrid FB 14, 15
T Temperature (°C) 18, 23, or 28
C Mosquito-to-host ratio 10, 100, or 250 28
FB Fraction of birds in the host population 0.2 or 0.8
m p Fraction pipiens in the population 0.10, 0.33, or 0.80 31, 32
m m Fraction molestus in the population 0.10, 0.33, or 0.80 31, 32
m h Fraction hybrids in the population 0.10 or 0.33 31, 32