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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jul 11.
Published in final edited form as: J Huntingtons Dis. 2017;6(2):127–137. doi: 10.3233/JHD-170236

Table 3.

Areas under the ROC curve for the five predictors: cross-sectional prediction

Cross-sectional prediction (Cox Model)

Δt (year) t (n) (year) Total motor score Putamen ICV Stroop word score FrSBE-executive subscale Total functional capacity

AUC AUC AUC AUC AUC
1 2 (n = 531) 0.71 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.69
4 (n = 276) 0.68 0.72 0.68 0.68 0.68
6 (n = 144) 0.65 0.70 0.65 0.66 0.66

2 2 (n = 531) 0.70 0.73 0.70 0.70 0.69
4 (n = 276) 0.67 0.72 0.67 0.68 0.67
6 (n = 144) 0.64 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.65

n is the remaining premanifest HD patients at time t. Predictive utility is evaluated based on the baseline measure of these n patients. Δt is relevant time window, corresponding to different prediction intervals.