Table 3. Posterior estimates (median) of the hazard ratio (HR) for predictors of cause-specific mortality by age categories.
| Covariate | Infants | Child | Older child | Adults | Elderly | Overall** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1-11month) | (1-4yrs) | (5-14yrs) | (15-59yrs) | (60 +) | ||
| HR | HR | HR | HR | HR | HR | |
| (95% CI*) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | |
| Malaria risk | 1.36 | 9.48 | 0.02 | 0.27 | 0.59 | 1.37 |
| (0.23–9.85) | (5.11–37.94) | (0.003–0.33) | (0.02–3.24) | (0.01–13.15) | (0.51–3.73) | |
| ITN | 1.01 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 0.99 | 1.02 | 1.00 |
| (1.00–1.02) | (0.99–1.01) | (0.99–1.03) | (0.98–1.01) | (1.00–1.04) | (0.99–1.01) | |
| Distance to health facility | ||||||
| 0–1 km | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–2 km | 1.19 | 1.26 | 1.10 | 1.02 | 0.98 | 1.12 |
| (0.89–1.60) | (1.05–1.45) | (0.76–2.04) | (0.72–1.45) | (0.50–2.01) | (0.95–1.30) | |
| >2 km | 1.18 | 1.42 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| (0.85–1.64) | (1.35–1.66) | (0.75–1.20) | (0.67–1.10) | (0.63–2.51) | (0.95–1.37) | |
| Ses | ||||||
| Poorest | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Poor | 1.03 | 0.94 | 1.01 | 1.03 | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| (0.79–1.37) | (0.77–1.08) | (0.55–1.46) | (0.66–1.58) | (0.60–2.13) | (0.86–1.15) | |
| Least poor | 0.94 | 0.76 | 0.58 | 1.27 | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| (0.70–1.26) | (0.62–0.89) | (0.41–1.07) | (0.82–1.95) | (0.53–1.86) | (0.79–1.07) | |
| Year | ||||||
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2008 | 9.32 | 2.34 | 1.26 | 1.60 | 1.73 | 2.12 |
| (3.34–57.79) | (1.36–4.07) | (0.63–4.03) | (0.79–3.36) | (0.49–2.67) | (0.93–4.14) | |
| 2009 | 7.21 | 1.57 | 4.59 | 2.13 | 3.28 | 1.86 |
| (2.56–47.57) | (1.08–2.51) | (1.81–7.23) | (1.52–4.36) | (1.07–58.62) | (0.57–3.89) | |
| 2010 | 6.95 | 1.87 | 5.19 | 1.43 | 5.75 | 2.02 |
| (2.36–45.32) | (1.18–2.70) | (1.85–15.48) | (0.70–2.54) | (1.66–15.5) | (0.55–4.02) | |
| 2011 | 6.07 | 1.74 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 3.00 | 1.45 |
| (1.99–37.2) | (1.25–2.87) | (0.46–2.48) | (0.32–1.71) | (1.16–30.4) | (0.32–3.02) | |
| 2012 | 5.31 | 2.09 | 2.09 | 0.95 | 2.68 | 1.60 |
| (1.66–36.72) | (1.33–3.19) | (1.01–6.14) | (0.43–2.05) | (0.99–46.27) | (0.34–3.28) | |
| Altitude | ||||||
| 1147–1243 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1244–1293 | 0.82 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 0.61 | 1.46 | 0.70 |
| (0.54–1.24) | (0.56–0.92) | (0.39–1.62) | (0.28–1.14) | (0.93–5.25) | (0.54–0.93) | |
| 1294–1327 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.04 | 0.68 |
| (0.40–1.03) | (0.57–0.98) | (0.55–2.43) | (0.39–1.31) | (0.28–3.73) | (0.50–0.92) | |
| 1328–1365 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 1.63 | 0.64 |
| (0.35–0.99) | (0.56–1.01) | (0.42–1.64) | (0.37–1.42) | (0.55–5.65) | (0.45–0.88) | |
| >1365 | 0.39 | 0.64 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 2.74 | 0.58 |
| (0.22–0.76) | (0.46–0.91) | (0.50–2.67) | (0.27–1.15) | (1.14–10.81) | (0.40–0.85) | |
| Spatial Variation | 5.87 | 5.66 | 0.73 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 8.83 |
| (1.00–29.11) | (1.30–21.34) | (0.22–5.14) | (0.17–2.91) | (0.15–1.81) | (4.11–29.28) | |
| Temporal Variation | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| (0.09–0.28) | (0.11–1.30) | (0.16–1.28) | (0.14–0.61) | (0.17–1.38) | (0.11–0.27) | |
| Range*** | 10.95 | 10.74 | 18.37 | 30.11 | 36.0 | 10.9 |
| (8.09–40.52) | (8.08–36.21) | (8.27–82.37) | (8.56–93.64) | (8.83–95.26) | (8.09–34.21) |
* CI = credible interval
** In addition to the variables above we also adjusted for age in the overall model
*** Minimum distance in kilometers at which spatial variation is statistically important at 5%