Table 6.

The MP Program and Medium-Term Outcomes from the 1940 Census

	No controls	All controls	Observations	Mean rejected	Percent effect
Annual income in 1939	76.06 [54.222]	90.93** [35.976]	1,960	666.2	13
Years of schooling	0.431* [0.230]	0.316 [0.262]	2,058	9.363	4
Black = 1	0.00440 [0.007]	0.00607 [0.007]	2,099	0.008	40

Notes: Standard errors (in brackets) are clustered at the county level. Effects computed relative to the average for rejected boys. All coefficients are estimated from separate regressions, with standard errors clustered at the county level and include all controls: individual characteristics (age at application, age of oldest and youngest in family, dummies for number of siblings, number of letters in name, a dummy for whether date of birth is incomplete, year of application, and dummies for the marital status of the mother); state characteristics at the time of application include manufacturing wages, education/labor laws (age must enter school, age can obtain a work permit, and whether a continuation school law is in place), state expenditures in logs (education, charity, and total expenditures on social programs), and state laws concerning MP transfers (work required, reapplication required, the maximum legislated amount for the first child, and the legislated amount for each additional child); county dummies and cohort dummies.

^***significant at the 1 percent level.

^**significant at the 5 percent level.

^*significant at the 10 percent level.