Table 3.

Comparison of models for prediction of development of hypertrigliceridemia over 2 years in children with normal TG levels at baseline.

	AUC (95% CI)	P value	NRI	P value	IDI	P value	H-L	P value
Model 1: Gender, age and BMI percentile	0.757 (0.669–0.845)	1.7 × 10 −6					11.49	0.175
Model 2: Model 1 + Baseline HOMA-IR and serum TG	0.796 (0.712–0.880)	4.7 × 10 −8	20%	0.00045	6.0%	0.0058	10.35	0.242
Model 3: Model 2 + Amino acids Z-score sum	0.811 (0.726–0.897)	9.4 × 10 −9	7%	0.00356	4.5%	0.0047	6.62	0.578

H-L: Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistics, NRI: net reclassification improvement, IDI: integrated discrimination index.