Table 3.
Current climate | Percentage changes in areas under future projected climate change | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total area (106 km2) | Percentage | CSIRO | MIROC | |||||
2050 | 2100 | 2050 | 2100 | |||||
EI = 0 | EI > 1 | EI = 0 | EI > 1 | EI > 1 | EI > 1 | EI > 1 | EI > 1 | |
Argentina | 11.05 | 16.92 | 39.5 | 60.5 | −2 | 1 | −2 | −1 |
Brazil | 6.41 | 78.81 | 7.5 | 92.5 | −5 | −64 | −7 | −63 |
China | 48.78 | 45.23 | 51.9 | 48.1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
Mexico | 3.31 | 16.15 | 17.0 | 83.0 | −11 | −45 | −12 | −47 |
USA | 32.33 | 62.75 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 9 |
EI = 0, unsuitable area. EI > 1 includes three categories: marginal, suitable and optimal suitability.
Note that these are the total suitable projected areas and not the actual areas under maize cultivation.