Table 5.
Significance of Adding RACHS, STAT, Cyanotic/Acyanotic and Single/Two Ventricle Co-Variates to the PRISM Prediction Models.
Morbidity-Intact Survival-Death (Trichotomous) Model | Survival-Death (Binary) Model | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Factor | Significance Level (3) | VUS With/Without Factor | Significance Level (3) | AUC With/Without Factor |
RACHS (1) | p = 0.53 | 0.483 / 0.497 | p = 0.78 | 0.854 / 0.854 |
STAT (2) | p = 0.16 | 0.472 / 0.490 | p = 0.83 | 0.836 / 0.842 |
Cyanotic-Acyanotic | p = 0.75 | 0.457 / 0.467 | p = 0.50 | 0.830 / 0.832 |
Single-two ventricle | p = 0.19 | 0.457 / 0.466 | p = 0.37 | 0.830 / 0.832 |
RACHS categories 1 and 2, and categories 5 and 6, were combined to achieve sufficient numbers of outcomes in category levels to allow model convergence.
All 5 STAT categories were used in modeling.
For the likelihood ratio test, adding the factor to a model with outcome probabilities fit using the published model coefficients.
Abbreviations: VUS = Volume Under the Surface; AUC = Area Under the Curve.