Table 1.
M+F− couples |
M−F+ couples |
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Multivariate Model† |
Multivariate Model† |
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Total cohort (N interval, % or mean, SD) |
Any unprotected sex (N interval, % or mean, SD) |
Unadjusted p Value (2-tail) | aHR | 95% CI | p Value (two-tail) | Total cohort (N interval, % or mean, SD) |
Any unprotected sex (N interval, % or mean, SD) |
Unadjusted p value (two-tail) | aHR | 95% CI | p Value (two-tail) | |||||
Demographics | ||||||||||||||||
Man age (per year increase)‡ | 35.2 | 7.6 | 34.0 | 7.4 | <0.0001 | 0.98 | 0.98 to 0.99 | <0.0001 | 35.2 | 8.6 | 34.3 | 8.3 | <0.0001 | 0.99 | 0.98 to 0.99 | <0.0001 |
Woman age (per year increase) ‡ | 28.4 | 6.8 | 27.4 | 6.6 | <0.0001 | 28.6 | 6.7 | 27.9 | 6.5 | <0.0001 | ||||||
Years cohabiting (per year increase) ‡ | 8.1 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 6.0 | <0.0001 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.4 | <0.001 | ||||||
Woman alcohol use last year | ||||||||||||||||
Yes | 2549 | 17% | 1057 | 18% | 0.022 | 1.15 | 1.01 to 1.31 | 0.033 | 3606 | 24% | 1550 | 23% | 0.729 | |||
No | 12 582 | 83% | 4727 | 82% | Ref | 11 585 | 76% | 5119 | 77% | |||||||
Man alcohol use last year | ||||||||||||||||
Yes | 10 152 | 67% | 3964 | 68% | 0.033 | 1.11 | 0.99 to 1.24 | 0.088 | 11 181 | 73% | 4979 | 74% | 0.166 | |||
No | 5034 | 33% | 1825 | 32% | Ref | 4034 | 27% | 1722 | 26% | |||||||
Family planning and sexual behaviour | ||||||||||||||||
Contraceptive method (time-varying) | ||||||||||||||||
Condoms alone | 9553 | 62% | 3701 | 63% | Ref | 10 318 | 67% | 4698 | 69% | |||||||
OCPs | 2128 | 14% | 969 | 16% | <0.0001 | 1.37 | 1.22 to 1.54 | <0.0001 | 2061 | 13% | 910 | 13% | 0.368 | |||
Injectables | 2011 | 13% | 794 | 13% | 0.002 | 1.43 | 1.25 to 1.64 | <0.0001 | 1975 | 13% | 808 | 12% | 0.271 | |||
Permanent method, IUD, implant | 1711 | 11% | 437 | 7% | 0.508 | 1.14 | 0.90 to 1.44 | 0.293 | 1157 | 7% | 405 | 6% | 0.716 | |||
Pregnancy status (time-varying) | ||||||||||||||||
Not pregnant | 11 922 | 87% | 4427 | 80% | Ref | 12 167 | 89% | 5315 | 85% | Ref | ||||||
Pregnant (not incident) | 1346 | 10% | 938 | 17% | <0.0001 | 1.85 | 1.71 to 2.01 | <0.0001 | 1140 | 8% | 857 | 14% | <0.0001 | 1.56 | 1.46 to 1.66 | <0.0001 |
Post-partum (up to 6 months) | 510 | 4% | 136 | 2% | 0.004 | 0.83 | 0.70 to 0.99 | 0.038 | 341 | 2% | 108 | 2% | 0.005 | 0.81 | 0.68 to 0.95 | 0.0107 |
Number of previous pregnancies (per pregnancy increase)‡ | 3.7 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.001 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.032 | ||||||
Fertility intentions of woman | ||||||||||||||||
Yes, next year | 1051 | 18% | 418 | 21% | 0.045 | 1642 | 23% | 693 | 24% | 0.372 | ||||||
Yes, but not next year | 1217 | 21% | 472 | 24% | 0.005 | 1770 | 25% | 772 | 27% | 0.063 | ||||||
Do not know/no | 3610 | 61% | 1076 | 55% | 3750 | 52% | 1435 | 49% | ||||||||
Fertility intentions of man | ||||||||||||||||
Yes, next year | 671 | 13% | 259 | 15% | 0.126 | 1145 | 18% | 511 | 20% | 0.023 | ||||||
Yes, but not next year | 1652 | 32% | 573 | 34% | 0.160 | 2556 | 39% | 1073 | 42% | 0.016 | ||||||
Do not know/No | 2880 | 55% | 869 | 51% | 2829 | 43% | 994 | 39% | ||||||||
Woman self-reporting sex with outside partner (time-varying) | ||||||||||||||||
Yes | 205 | 1% | 115 | 2% | <0.001 | 1.30 | 1.09 to 1.55 | 0.003 | 236 | 2% | 131 | 2% | 0.241 | |||
No | 14 848 | 99% | 5720 | 98% | Ref | 14 150 | 98% | 6408 | 98% | |||||||
Clinical | ||||||||||||||||
Circumcised male partner | ||||||||||||||||
Yes | 1508 | 10% | 619 | 11% | 0.05 | 1.23 | 1.03 to 1.46 | 0.021 | 2587 | 17% | 1084 | 16% | 0.249 | |||
No | 13 876 | 90% | 5266 | 89% | Ref | 12 963 | 83% | 5745 | 84% |
Fertility intentions collected from 2002 to 2011; viral load collected from 1999.
p Values are two-tailed.
*Composite of: any self-reported unprotected sex with the study partner in the past 3 months, incident pregnancy, sperm present on a vaginal swab wet prep and incident linked HIV seroconversion.
Log viral load of positive partner (per log10 copies/mL increase), Nyanja literacy and man self-reporting sex with outside partner were not associated (p>0.05).
†Controlling for time since enrolment (>0–3 months vs later, p<0.005).
‡Indicates a continuous variable, mean and standard deviation reported.
Nyanja: Commonly spoken language in Lusaka, Zambia.
Stage of HIV, income and man’s literacy were not significant.
IUD, copper intrauterine device; OCP, oral contraceptive pill.