Table 2.
Regression coefficients, RRs and 95% CrI from Bayesian spatial and non-spatial models of diarrhoea incidence, Bhutan, 2003–13
| Model/variables | Coefficient, posterior mean (95% CrI) | RR, posterior mean (95% CrI) |
|---|---|---|
| Model I (Unstructured) | ||
| α (Intercept) | −0.034 (−0.03, 0.143) | |
| Temperature Maximum (°C)a | 0.006 (0.005, 0.006) | 1.006 (1.005, 1.006) |
| Rainfall (mm)a | 0.0489 (0.048, 0.049) | 1.050 (1.049, 1.051) |
| Ageb | −1.356 (−1.361, −1.351) | 0.258 (0.256, 0.259) |
| Sex | −0.05 (−0.055, −0.045) | 0.951 (0.947, 0.956) |
| Heterogeneity | ||
| Structured | - | - |
| Unstructured | 0.073 (0.174, 0.044) | - |
| DIC | 210,591 | |
| Model II (Structured) | ||
| α (Intercept) | −0.012 (−0.028, 0.004) | |
| Temperature Maximum (°C)a | 0.006 (0.005, 0.006) | 1.006 (1.005, 1.006) |
| Rainfall (mm)a | 0.0489 (0.048, 0.049) | 1.050 (1.049, 1.051) |
| Ageb | −1.356 (−1.361, −1.351) | 0.258 (0.256, 0.259) |
| Sex | −0.05 (−0.055, −0.045) | 0.951 (0.947, 0.956) |
| Heterogeneity | - | |
| Structured | 0.218 (0.87, 0.245) | - |
| Unstructured | - | - |
| DIC | 210,594 | |
| Model III (Structured and unstructured) | ||
| α (Intercept) | −0.032 (−0.161, 0.086) | |
| Temperature Maximum (°C)a | 0.006 (0.005, 0.006) | 1.006 (1.005, 1.006) |
| Rainfall (mm)a | 0.049 (0.048, 0.049) | 1.050 (1.049, 1.051) |
| Ageb | −1.356 (−1.361, −1.351) | 0.258 (0.256, 0.259) |
| Sex | −0.05 (−0.055, −0.045) | 0.951 (0.947, 0.956) |
| Heterogeneity | ||
| Structured | 0.067 (0.151, 0.033) | - |
| Unstructured | 0.007 (0.157, 0.038) | - |
| DIC | 210,598 | |
aDistrict specific
bAge categorized as <5 years and ≥5 years