Table 3.
10-year Age-Conditional Risk (1 in n) of HIV Diagnosis among HIV-Free Males and Females, Aged 20–50 Years, United States.
| 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| “One in n” | 95% CI | “One in n” | 95% CI | “One in n” | 95% CI | “One in n” | 95% CI | |
| Males | ||||||||
| Total | 192 | 191–194 | 269 | 266–272 | 319 | 316–322 | 580 | 572–588 |
| MSM | 15 | 14–15 | 22 | 22–23 | 29 | 28–29 | 59 | 58–60 |
| PWID | 220 | 207–234 | 207 | 197–217 | 173 | 167–180 | 167 | 160–174 |
| Heterosexual | 3,318 | 3,197–3,444 | 2,252 | 2,185–2,322 | 1,868 | 1,819–1,920 | 2,527 | 2,450–2,607 |
| Black/African American | 55 | 54–55 | 101 | 99–102 | 116 | 114–118 | 173 | 170–177 |
| MSM | 4 | 4–5 | 9 | 9–10 | 13 | 13–14 | 26 | 25–27 |
| PWID | 77 | 69–85 | 72 | 66–78 | 48 | 46–51 | 33 | 32–35 |
| Heterosexual | 665 | 636–696 | 453 | 436–471 | 345 | 334–357 | 422 | 406–438 |
| Hispanic/Latino | 168 | 165–171 | 189 | 185–192 | 232 | 227–237 | 405 | 391–419 |
| MSM | 13 | 12–13 | 16 | 15–16 | 20 | 20–21 | 40 | 38–42 |
| PWID | 174 | 154–196 | 131 | 121–142 | 106 | 98–114 | 102 | 92–112 |
| Heterosexual | 3,632 | 3,339–3,957 | 1,889 | 1,778–2,008 | 1,745 | 1,636–1,863 | 2,096 | 1,925–2,285 |
| White | 508 | 499–516 | 513 | 504–522 | 534 | 525–543 | 998 | 977–1,020 |
| MSM | 39 | 38–39 | 40 | 39–41 | 42 | 41–42 | 79 | 77–81 |
| PWID | 429 | 382–484 | 457 | 417–502 | 435 | 402–472 | 548 | 501–601 |
| Heterosexual | 19,176 | 17,041–21,643 | 13,501 | 12,253–14,912 | 9,150 | 8,492–9,871 | 12,105 | 11,174–13,135 |
| Females | ||||||||
| Total | 1,092 | 1,071–1,113 | 952 | 934–970 | 1,081 | 1,060–1,102 | 1,613 | 1,576–1,650 |
| PWID | 108 | 102–114 | 113 | 107–119 | 137 | 130–143 | 112 | 106–119 |
| Heterosexual | 1,025 | 1,004–1,047 | 1,035 | 1,015–1,056 | 1,202 | 1,177–1,227 | 1,819 | 1,773–1,865 |
| Black/African American | 247 | 242–254 | 206 | 201–211 | 227 | 221–232 | 310 | 301–319 |
| PWID | 40 | 37–44 | 38 | 35–41 | 37 | 35–40 | 25 | 23–27 |
| Heterosexual | 222 | 217–228 | 214 | 208–219 | 241 | 235–248 | 340 | 329–351 |
| Hispanic/Latino | 1,405 | 1,337–1,477 | 1,176 | 1,123–1,233 | 1,120 | 1,066–1,177 | 1,273 | 1,196–1,355 |
| PWID | 127 | 111–148 | 136 | 119–156 | 142 | 125–161 | 97 | 83–114 |
| Heterosexual | 1,341 | 1,271–1,415 | 1,282 | 1,220–1,348 | 1,240 | 1,175–1,310 | 1,410 | 1,318–1,510 |
| White | 3,715 | 3,544–3,896 | 3,375 | 3,223–3,536 | 3,926 | 3,749–4,114 | 6,565 | 6,213–6,942 |
| PWID | 155 | 141–170 | 178 | 162–195 | 274 | 252–299 | 298 | 268–333 |
| Heterosexual | 4,202 | 3,974–4,446 | 4,442 | 4,207–4,693 | 5,151 | 4,877–5,445 | 8,337 | 7,817–8,901 |
CI, confidence interval; MSM, men who have sex with men; PWID, people who inject drugs.