Table 4.
Average prediction accuracy of AR models for PH of 60-minutes: RMSE – Root Mean Squared Error; MAE – Mean Absolute Error.
| Cases | LAR | AAR | NNAR | SETAR | LSTAR | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | |
| Low to moderate risk (1) | ||||||||||
| 7.43 (1.93) | 6.04 (1.65) | 7.01 (1.96) | 6.56 (1.54) | 6.11 (2.47) | 5.03 (2.21) | 7.15 (1.42) | 6.83 (1.22) | 6.01 (3.28) | 5.81 (2.51) | |
| High risk of hypoglycemia (1) | ||||||||||
| 18.54 (1.73) | 17.92 (2.53) | 13.14 (1.33) | 12.72 (2.02) | 10.88 (2.06) | 9.38 (2.98) | 9.25 (1.47) | 8.84 (1.03) | 7.31 (1.96) | 6.56 (1.54) | |
| 16.95 (2.93) | 15.44 (2.75) | 13.85 (2.83) | 13.44 (2.71) | 10.06 (2.61) | 8.25 (1.98) | 8.04 (1.62) | 7.93 (1.75) | 7.63 (1.06) | 6.98 (0.94) | |
| 17.41 (1.78) | 15.86 (1.23) | 14.84 (1.72) | 13.96 (1.72) | 11.81 (2.60) | 10.51 (3.82) | 8.31 (2.97) | 7.83 (1.03) | 7.68 (2.14) | 6.92 (1.73) | |
| High risk of hyperglycemia (1) | ||||||||||
| 17.07 (3.43) | 17.88 (3.21) | 13.62 (4.11) | 11.38 (3.12) | 10.42 (4.18) | 10.28 (3.14) | 8.64 (0.93) | 7.67 (0.93) | 6.71 (0.74) | 5.93 (0.93) | |
| 18.44 (3.19) | 18.27 (3.03) | 13.62 (4.37) | 11.62 (3.19) | 11.62 (4.37) | 11.49 (3.81) | 9.83 (2.12) | 7.67 (1.83) | 7.74 (2.03) | 6.05 (1.94) | |
| 17.84 (3.27) | 16.21 (2.06) | 13.82 (3.72) | 11.95 (3.71) | 11.42 (4.71) | 10.15 (3.91) | 9.04 (2.07) | 8.03 (2.03) | 7.51 (3.28) | 6.81 (2.51) | |
(1)Values are presented as mean (standard deviation).