Table 2.
Probabilities and Costs of Transition Points
Event Probability, Adjusted | 95% CI | Cost of Event, Adjusted | 95% CI | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Current Smokers (n=381) | ||||
Uncomplicated admissiona | 0.761 | 0.518, 0.852 | $18,865 | $17,629, $20,100 |
Complicated admissionb | 0.239 | 0.148, 0.482 | $36,946 | $33,081, $40,813 |
First readmission given no complicationsc | 0.237 | 0.101, 0.377 | $15,390 | $9,924, $20,854 |
First readmission given complications d | 0.390 | 0.085, 0.602 | $15,514 | $6,758, $24,270 |
Second readmission given no complicationse | 0.275 | 0.057, 0.624 | $11,576 | $7,092, $16,060 |
Second readmission given complicationsf | 0.383 | 0.042, 0.903 | $14,627 | $7,611, $21,642 |
Recent Quitters (n=153) | ||||
Uncomplicated admissiong | 0.799 | 0.678, 0.874 | $17,523 | $15,823, $19,224 |
Complicated admissionh | 0.201 | 0.126, 0.322 | $34,319 | $29,833, $38,805 |
First readmission given no complicationsi | 0.336 | 0.201, 0.559 | $10,334 | $4,923, $15,746 |
First readmission given complicationsj | 0.890 | 0.358, 1.00 | $10,417 | $5,128, $15,708 |
Second readmission given no complicationsk | 0.254 | 0.091, 0.710 | $6,964 | $3,827, $10,099 |
Second readmission given complicationsl | 0.707 | 0.182, 1.00 | $8,798 | $5,093, $12,503 |
Location of event probability and cost along pathway in Figure 2