Table 9.
Drug | Odds ratio | 95% credible interval for odds ratio | Probability of the treatment being least likely to be discontinued among all | Probability of GXR being less likely to be discontinued compared with each treatment |
---|---|---|---|---|
GXR | 4.50 | (2.14, 10.31) | <1% | – |
LDX | 2.95 | (1.21, 7.59) | 1.67% | 22.55% |
ATX | 2.35 | (1.27, 4.37) | <1% | 7.74% |
MPH-ER | 1.29 | (0.59, 2.77) | 33.50% | 1.05% |
MPH-IR | 1.02 | (0.32, 3.18) | 63.85% | 1.89% |
Drug | Relative risk of drug versus placebo | 95% credible interval for relative risk | Response rate | Placebo riska (95% confidence interval) |
---|---|---|---|---|
GXR | 4.49 | (2.10, 8.81) | 0.08 | 0.02 (0.01, 0.02) |
LDX | 3.11 | (1.20, 6.76) | 0.06 | |
ATX | 2.39 | (1.26, 4.11) | 0.04 | |
MPH-ER | 1.38 | (0.60, 2.68) | 0.03 | |
MPH-IR | 1.20 | (0.32, 3.06) | 0.02 |
Core Bayesian analysis: random-effects model, combined doses, excluding short-term studies, and adjusted for age and percent female
Both forced- and optimal-dose studies were included in the network. Among forced-dose studies, randomization arms included GXR 1, 2, 3, and 4 mg/day; LDX 30, 50, and 70 mg/day; ATX 0.5, 1.2, and 1.8 mg/kg/day; and MPH-ER 18, 20, and 36 mg/day. Unlike for the ADHD-RS-IV outcome, MPH-IR trial data with AE-related discontinuation rates were available. Hence, MPH-IR was included in the AE-related discontinuation network. All MPH-IR studies were optimal-dose studies
ADHD-RS-IV Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Rating Scale Version IV, AE adverse event, ATX atomoxetine, GXR guanfacine extended release, LDX lisdexamfetamine dimesylate, MPH-ER methylphenidate extended release, MPH-IR methylphenidate immediate release
aThe placebo risk is the pooled risk of discontinuation of the placebo arms in the data. The placebo risk uncertainty is measured as the 95% confidence interval around this pooled placebo risk. The odds ratio was converted to a relative risk scale using the pooled placebo rate