Table 1.
Effects of mortality selection on mortality after age 50
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Effects of intrauterine programming on mortality after age 50 | Weak: nutritional depletion not severe enough to select out the weakest members of the population | Strong: nutritional depletion leads to physiological damage severe enough to select out the weakest members of the population |
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Weak: nutritional depletion leads to minor physiological changes | Timing and duration of the exposure do not lead to physiological differences between the exposed and unexposed. The surviving population at age 50 is a heterogeneous group with little or no physiological change Hypothesis: no mortality differences |
The exposure leads to selective attrition in utero and increased childhood and early adult mortality. The surviving population at age 50 is a robust group with little or no physiological change Hypothesis: lower mortality |
Strong: nutritional depletion leads to physiological changes that alter the risk for mortality | The fetus adapts to an undernourished environment or is scarred by the exposure. The surviving population is a heterogeneous group with adaptive or mutagenic changes that decreases survival after age 50 Hypothesis: excess mortality |
The in utero exposure to undernutrition causes the frail to die and leads to adaptation or scarring that alters mortality for the remaining cohort. This leads to a population of robust survivors with adaptive or mutagenic changes that decrease survival after age 50 Hypothesis: null or excess mortality |