Table 5. Goodness-of-fit of the tweets model is influenced by disease incidence, access to computers, internet and social factors.
Goodness-of-fit of the tweet model | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable Description | High | Low | p value | ||
Mean | Std Error | Mean | Std Error | ||
Population (n) | 375,440.00 | 48,784.00 | 31,3882.00 | 10,1736.00 | *** |
Gross Domestic Product per capita | 34,599.00 | 1,793.00 | 28,611.00 | 1,844.00 | ** |
IDHM Mean (2010) | 0.77 | 0.003 | 0.74 | 0.004 | *** |
IDHM Income (2010) | 0.,75 | 0.004 | 0.73 | 0.005 | * |
IDHM Longevity (2010) | 0.85 | 0.002 | 0.84 | 0.002 | |
IDHM Education (2010) | 0.70 | 0.004 | 0.67 | 0.005 | *** |
Houses with personal computer (%) | 52.46 | 0.79 | 47.10 | 1.13 | ** |
Houses with internet (%) | 42.96 | 0.80 | 37.48 | 1.01 | *** |
Dengue cases, 2012 (n) | 333.90 | 54.31 | 125.20 | 28.71 | ** |
Dengue cases, 2013 (n) | 6,419.00 | 1,093.00 | 1,553.00 | 255.10 | ** |
Dengue cases, 2014 (n) | 2,465.00 | 391.50 | 1412.00 | 511.00 | ** |
Dengue cases, 2015 (n) | 6369.00 | 868.40 | 2667.00 | 730.10 | ** |
Dengue cases, 2016 (n) | 4,293.00 | 1,084.00 | 1,506.00 | 305.50 | ** |
Total Dengue cases (n) | 19,880.00 | 2,851.00 | 7,164.00 | 1,669.00 | ** |
Total Dengue Incidence (per 100,000 inhabitants) | 6,604.00 | 400.80 | 3,976.00 | 355.90 | *** |
Tweets, 2012 (n) | 38.65 | 9.22 | 23.08 | 8.84 | *** |
Tweets, 2013 (n) | 378.90 | 94.69 | 134.20 | 56.58 | *** |
Tweets, 2014 (n) | 136.30 | 27.17 | 94.70 | 48.06 | *** |
Tweets, 2015 (n) | 316.10 | 60.03 | 218.20 | 129.70 | *** |
Tweets, 2016 (n) | 288.50 | 72.19 | 147.10 | 74.02 | *** |
Total Tweets (n) | 1,159.00 | 256.30 | 586.80 | 301.00 | *** |
Twitter activity per 100,000 inhabitants | 270.00 | 13.14 | 137.00 | 7.01 | *** |
Linear Correlation (Dengue~Tweets) | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 0.02 | *** |
Weeks with tweets (%) | 55.60 | 1.72 | 35.89 | 2.13 | *** |
Weeks with Dengue (%) | 85.82 | 1.11 | 67.23 | 2.57 | *** |
Mean relative error of model estimate | 1.43 | 0.06 | 0.98 | 0.11 | *** |
* p value <0.01
** p value <0.001
***p value <0.0001