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. 2017 Jul 18;11(7):e0005729. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005729

Table 5. Goodness-of-fit of the tweets model is influenced by disease incidence, access to computers, internet and social factors.

Cities were divided into two groups: high, for cities with model Dengue estimate explained deviance equal or higher than 60%, and, low, otherwise.

Goodness-of-fit of the tweet model
Variable Description High Low p value
Mean Std Error Mean Std Error
Population (n) 375,440.00 48,784.00 31,3882.00 10,1736.00 ***
Gross Domestic Product per capita 34,599.00 1,793.00 28,611.00 1,844.00 **
IDHM Mean (2010) 0.77 0.003 0.74 0.004 ***
IDHM Income (2010) 0.,75 0.004 0.73 0.005 *
IDHM Longevity (2010) 0.85 0.002 0.84 0.002
IDHM Education (2010) 0.70 0.004 0.67 0.005 ***
Houses with personal computer (%) 52.46 0.79 47.10 1.13 **
Houses with internet (%) 42.96 0.80 37.48 1.01 ***
Dengue cases, 2012 (n) 333.90 54.31 125.20 28.71 **
Dengue cases, 2013 (n) 6,419.00 1,093.00 1,553.00 255.10 **
Dengue cases, 2014 (n) 2,465.00 391.50 1412.00 511.00 **
Dengue cases, 2015 (n) 6369.00 868.40 2667.00 730.10 **
Dengue cases, 2016 (n) 4,293.00 1,084.00 1,506.00 305.50 **
Total Dengue cases (n) 19,880.00 2,851.00 7,164.00 1,669.00 **
Total Dengue Incidence (per 100,000 inhabitants) 6,604.00 400.80 3,976.00 355.90 ***
Tweets, 2012 (n) 38.65 9.22 23.08 8.84 ***
Tweets, 2013 (n) 378.90 94.69 134.20 56.58 ***
Tweets, 2014 (n) 136.30 27.17 94.70 48.06 ***
Tweets, 2015 (n) 316.10 60.03 218.20 129.70 ***
Tweets, 2016 (n) 288.50 72.19 147.10 74.02 ***
Total Tweets (n) 1,159.00 256.30 586.80 301.00 ***
Twitter activity per 100,000 inhabitants 270.00 13.14 137.00 7.01 ***
Linear Correlation (Dengue~Tweets) 0.67 0.01 0.43 0.02 ***
Weeks with tweets (%) 55.60 1.72 35.89 2.13 ***
Weeks with Dengue (%) 85.82 1.11 67.23 2.57 ***
Mean relative error of model estimate 1.43 0.06 0.98 0.11 ***

* p value <0.01

** p value <0.001

***p value <0.0001