. 2017 Dec 1;601-602:1226–1237. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.002

Table 5.

Performance of virtual cultivars under baseline climate and climate change (temp. + CO₂ + rain) by 2050 at Jodhpur and Bikaner sites in India. Grain yield in kg ha^− 1.

Virtual cultivars	Baseline climate		Climate change 2050
Virtual cultivars	Grain yield	% change	Grain yield	% change
	Jodhpur
Baseline	1357		1531
10% short	1288	− 5	1286	− 16
10% long	1369	1	1620	6
Baseline + yield pot.	1592	17^a	1832	20^a
10% short + yield pot.	1519	18^a	1597	24^a
10% long + yield pot.	1577	15^a	1909	18^a
LSD (0.05)^b	206		218

Baseline + yield pot.	1592		1832
Baseline + yield pot. + drought tolerance (DT)	1847	16^c	1948	6^c
Baseline + yield pot. + heat tolerance (HT)	1654	4^c	1974	8^c
Baseline + yield pot. + DT + HT	1909	20^c	2089	14^c
LSD (0.05)^b	108		71

	Bikaner
Baseline	518		544
10% short	456	− 12	504	− 7
10% long	583	12	542	0
Baseline + yield pot.	601	16^a	647	19^a
10% short + yield pot.	528	16^a	601	19^a
10% long + yield pot.	690	18^a	650	20^a
LSD (0.05)^b	142		114

Baseline + yield pot.	601		647
Baseline + yield pot. + drought tolerance (DT)	717	19^c	789	22^c
Baseline + yield pot. + heat tolerance (HT)	673	12^c	754	17^c
Baseline + yield pot. + DT + HT	805	34^c	919	42^c
LSD (0.05)^b	34		90

% change: percent yield gain of a virtual cultivar due to the trait as compared to the baseline cultivar yield unless otherwise indicated.

Yield improvement compared to the cultivar with same crop maturity.

Least significant difference at 5% level of probability to compare yields within the column above the LSD value.

Yield improvement compared to the cultivar with same crop maturity and yield potential.