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. 2017 May 29;146(8):1143–1149. doi: 10.1037/xge0000298

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© 2017 The Author(s)

This article has been published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Copyright for this article is retained by the author(s). Author(s) grant(s) the American Psychological Association the exclusive right to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher.

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Distribution of absolute Time 1 confidence in belief about which candidate would win the election. The dashed line denotes the median. N = 811. See the online article for the color version of this figure.