Table 3. Mortality prediction of EVH post EVL.
6-week mortality | |||||||
Predictive factors | Cut-off point |
Youden index |
Sensitivity (%) |
Specificity (%) |
PPV |
NPV |
Accuracy |
CLIF-SOFA | 6.5 | 0.758 | 0.871 | 0.887 | 0.536 | 0.979 | 0.885 |
MELD score | 18.5 | 0.513 | 0.688 | 0.824 | 0.370 | 0.946 | 0.806 |
CTP points | 10.5 | 0.499 | 0.699 | 0.800 | 0.344 | 0.947 | 0.787 |
Hospital mortality | |||||||
CLIF-SOFA | 6.5 | 0.823 | 0.979 | 0.844 | 0.311 | 0.998 | 0.852 |
MELD score | 16.4 | 0.596 | 0.875 | 0.730 | 0.184 | 0.988 | 0.731 |
CTP points | 9.5 | 0.542 | 0.958 | 0.584 | 0.142 | 0.995 | 0.609 |
CLIF-SOFA, chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; CTP, Child–Turcotte–Pugh; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value