Table 3. Median, interquartile range and 95% credibility interval of the six parameters estimated, and Deviance Information Criterions (DIC) for the two climate-dependent model scenarios (linear and exponential).

Scenario		Linear			Exponential
DIC		522.8			523.7
Parameters estimated	Notation	Median	IQR*	95%CrI†	Median	IQR*	95%CrI†
Climate-dependent transmission scenarios
slope (linear) or multiplying factor (exponential)	a	3.41	3.02–3.80	2.28–4.56	3.15	2.75–3.57	2.05–4.41
Rsmin (linear) or scaling factor (exponential)	b	0.67	0.62–0.72	0.52–0.81	-2.19	-2.50– -1.89	-3.11 – -1.38
Rs for maximum NDVI value (0.85)		1.55	1.30–1.90		1.91	1.39–2.19
Rs for minimum NDVI value (0.59)		0.67	0.36–0.91		0.62	0.53–0.90
Initial conditions
Percentage of immune at t0	imm_t0	12.89	11.69–14.13	9.51–16.88	12.98	11.75–14.26	9.58–16.95
Viral introduction through animal imports
Import starting date (month number)	t_imp	33.57	32.47–34.66	30.91–35.84	33.47	32.30–34.63	30.85–35.83
Import duration (year fraction)	P	1.88	1.79–1.94	1.59–1.99	1.88	1.78–1.94	1.58–1.99
Percentage of animals caught	pseized	2.86	2.66–3.14	2.51–3.82	2.99	2.72–3.37	2.52–4.42

* IQR: Interquartile range;

^† CrI: Credibility Interval