Table 3.
Impacts of anti-smoking policies on cumulative cases, new cases, and deaths (2017-2027)
| Difference in cases1 | Cases |
New cases |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PWO | PWC | TIO | TIC | PWO | PWC | TIO | TIC | ||
| Ischemic heart disease | Males | -27 561 | -13 780 | -33 073 | -16 537 | -4388 | -2194 | -5265 | -2633 |
| Females | -3965 | -1983 | -4758 | -2379 | -578 | -289 | -694 | -347 | |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | Males | -58 324 | -29 160 | -69 984 | -34 992 | -8762 | -4381 | -10 514 | -5257 |
| Females | -9624 | -4812 | -11 549 | -5774 | -1178 | -589 | -1413 | -707 | |
| Diabetes | Males | -76 922 | -38 460 | -92 304 | -46 156 | -11 292 | -5646 | -13 550 | -6775 |
| Females | -8316 | -4158 | -9980 | -4990 | -1062 | -531 | -1274 | -637 | |
| Stroke | Males | -20 026 | -10 013 | -24 032 | -12 016 | -3244 | -1622 | -3893 | -1946 |
| Females | -2192 | -1096 | -2630 | -1315 | -321 | -161 | -385 | -193 | |
| Lung cancer | Males | -19 044 | -9522 | -22 853 | -11 426 | -3210 | -1605 | -3852 | -1926 |
| Females | -1992 | -996 | -2390 | -1195 | -287 | -144 | -345 | -172 | |
| Oral cancer | Males | -3972 | -1986 | -4766 | -2383 | -640 | -320 | -769 | -384 |
| Females | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All diseases | Males | -205 848 | -102 928 | -247 024 | -123 520 | -31 537 | -15 769 | -37 844 | -18 922 |
| Females | -26 088 | -13 040 | -31 304 | -15 652 | -3426 | -1713 | -4111 | -2056 | |
| Deaths (2017-2027) | Males | -135 | -67 | -161 | -81 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Females | -15 | -8 | -18 | -9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
PWO, pictorial warning, the optimistic scenario; PWC, pictorial warning, the conservative scenario; TIO, tax increase, the optimistic scenario; TIC, tax increase, the conservative scenario; N/A, not applicable.
1
Difference between each of the anti-smoking policy scenarios and the reference scenario.