Table 6.
Reduction in the number of cases of diabetes per year with each scenario
|
Reformulation |
Price |
Change in market share |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | Scenario 5 | Scenario 6 | |
| Male sex | ||||||
| Boys aged 4–10 years | 71 (2·6) | 13 (0·5) | 40 (1·5) | 15 (0·5) | 45 (1·6) | −5 (−0·2) |
| Boys aged 11–18 years | 224 (7·5) | 44 (1·5) | 131 (4·3) | 49 (1·6) | 145 (4·8) | −15 (−0·5) |
| Men aged 19–64 years | 8364 (43·5) | 1585 (8·2) | 4783 (24·9) | 1749 (9·1) | 5327 (27·6) | −549 (−2·8) |
| Men aged ≥65 years | 2539 (49·4) | 469 (9·1) | 1431 (27·8) | 517 (10·1) | 1598 (31·1) | −160 (−3·1) |
| Female sex | ||||||
| Girls aged 4–10 years | 52 (2·0) | 10 (0·4) | 29 (1·1) | 11 (0·4) | 33 (1·2) | −3 (−0·1) |
| Girls aged 11–18 years | 223 (7·8) | 43 (1·5) | 128 (4·5) | 47 (1·7) | 143 (4·9) | −15 (−0·5) |
| Women aged 19–64 years | 5192 (26·7) | 972 (5·0) | 2950 (15·1) | 1073 (5·5) | 3289 (16·9) | −336 (−1·7) |
| Women aged ≥65 years | 2429 (38·8) | 448 (7·2) | 1369 (21·8) | 495 (7·9) | 1528 (24·4) | −1549 (−2·5) |
| Total | ||||||
| Total; 95% UI | 19 094 (31·1); 6920 to 32 678 | 3584 (5·8); 1289 to 6466 | 10 861 (17·7); 3899 to 18 964 | 3955 (6·4); 1420 to 7085 | 1528 (19·7); 4414 to 21 785 | −1238 (−2·0); −2359 to −455 |
Data in parentheses are reductions in incidence per 100 000 person-years. UI=uncertainty interval.