Table 7.
Reformulation |
Price |
Change in market share |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | Scenario 5 | Scenario 6 | |
Male sex | ||||||
Boys aged 4–10 years | 12 735 (4·6) | 2318 (0·8) | 7022 (2·6) | 3376 (1·2) | 8096 (2·9) | −741 (−0·3) |
Boys aged 11–18 years | 31 040 (10·3) | 5650 (1·9) | 17 268 (5·7) | 7015 (2·3) | 19 967 (6·6) | −1922 (−0·6) |
Men aged 19–64 years | 102 477 (5·3) | 18 654 (1·0) | 56 909 (3·0) | 23 776 (1·2) | 65 792 (3·4) | −6282 (−0·3) |
Men aged ≥65 years | 9239 (1·8) | 1682 (0·3) | 5081 (1·0) | 2554 (0·5) | 5924 (1·2) | −563 (−0·1) |
Female sex | ||||||
Girls aged 4–10 years | 10 225 (3·9) | 1861 (0·7) | 5645 (2·2) | 2640 (1·0) | 6496 (2·5) | −593 (−0·2) |
Girls aged 11–18 years | 19 977 (7·0) | 3637 (1·2) | 11 099 (3·9) | 4610 (1·6) | 12 808 (4·5) | −1216 (−0·4) |
Women aged 19–64 years | 72 625 (3·7) | 13 220 (0·7) | 40 270 (2·1) | 17 240 (0·9) | 46 516 (2·4) | −4397 (−0·2) |
Women aged ≥65 years | 11 056 (1·8) | 2013 (0·3) | 6086 (1·0) | 3029 (0·5) | 7119 (1·1) | −688 (−0·1) |
Total | ||||||
Total; 95% UI | 269 375 (4·4); 82 211 to 470 928 | 49 036 (0·8); 14 929 to 85 630 | 149 378 (2·4); 45 231 to 262 013 | 64 240 (1·1); 19 643 to 112 371 | 172 718 (2·8); 47 919 to 294 499 | −16 401 (−0·3); −28 037 to −4604 |
Data in parentheses are reductions in incidence per 1000 person-years. UI=uncertainty interval.