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. 2016 Dec 16;2(1):e15–e22. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(16)30037-8

Table 7.

Reduction in number of decayed, missing, or filled teeth per year with each scenario

Reformulation
Price
Change in market share
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 5 Scenario 6
Male sex
Boys aged 4–10 years 12 735 (4·6) 2318 (0·8) 7022 (2·6) 3376 (1·2) 8096 (2·9) −741 (−0·3)
Boys aged 11–18 years 31 040 (10·3) 5650 (1·9) 17 268 (5·7) 7015 (2·3) 19 967 (6·6) −1922 (−0·6)
Men aged 19–64 years 102 477 (5·3) 18 654 (1·0) 56 909 (3·0) 23 776 (1·2) 65 792 (3·4) −6282 (−0·3)
Men aged ≥65 years 9239 (1·8) 1682 (0·3) 5081 (1·0) 2554 (0·5) 5924 (1·2) −563 (−0·1)
Female sex
Girls aged 4–10 years 10 225 (3·9) 1861 (0·7) 5645 (2·2) 2640 (1·0) 6496 (2·5) −593 (−0·2)
Girls aged 11–18 years 19 977 (7·0) 3637 (1·2) 11 099 (3·9) 4610 (1·6) 12 808 (4·5) −1216 (−0·4)
Women aged 19–64 years 72 625 (3·7) 13 220 (0·7) 40 270 (2·1) 17 240 (0·9) 46 516 (2·4) −4397 (−0·2)
Women aged ≥65 years 11 056 (1·8) 2013 (0·3) 6086 (1·0) 3029 (0·5) 7119 (1·1) −688 (−0·1)
Total
Total; 95% UI 269 375 (4·4); 82 211 to 470 928 49 036 (0·8); 14 929 to 85 630 149 378 (2·4); 45 231 to 262 013 64 240 (1·1); 19 643 to 112 371 172 718 (2·8); 47 919 to 294 499 −16 401 (−0·3); −28 037 to −4604

Data in parentheses are reductions in incidence per 1000 person-years. UI=uncertainty interval.