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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jan 24.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Clim Chang. 2017 Jul 24;7(8):563–567. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3345

Figure 4. Probability distributions for mean temperatures and time of threshold exceedance.

Figure 4

a) Model temperature projections. Model distribution (violin plot, purple line), 33-66% range (thick black line) 5-95% range (whiskers) and median value (white circle). Text gives probability of exceeding 1.5°C (blue) and 2°C (red), b) Probability of threshold crossing year for 1.5°C (blue) and 2°C (red). 5-95% range (whiskers), 33-66% range (box) and median value (horizontal line).