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. 2017 Aug 7;7:7386. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-07782-9

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Decline in mf prevalence in Lakshadweep, India, resulting from several different intervention scenarios. The median model-predicted trajectory is shown for each intervention strategy with no background vector control. For the first four years in this simulation, annual MDA at 80% coverage is applied after which one of seven alternative treatment strategies is adopted. The WHO 1% mf threshold and the model-predicted 95% EP threshold are shown as horizontal lines. Note that the y-axis is given in log-scale to better visualize transitions to low prevalence values.