Table 2.
Operational results
| Parameter | Parameter range | Index cases | Unique households searched | Unique individuals searched | Unique individuals treated (fDA) | Parasitological coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treatment seeking probability | 0.2–0.3 | 35 (0–106) | 315 (0–1046) | 933 (0–2850) | 592 (0–1682) | 0.12 (0.00–0.40) |
| 0.7–0.8 | 107 (1–320) | 448 (3–1388) | 1459 (3–4822) | 1025 (1–3187) | 0.22 (0.00–0.71) | |
| Observed | 36 (0–96) | 306 (0–969) | 915 (0–2651) | 598 (0–1609) | 0.12 (0–0.42) | |
| Diagnostic sensitivity at clinic | 0.2–0.3 | 60 (0–173) | 351 (0–1192) | 1087 (0–3439) | 731 (0–2125) | 0.15 (0.00–0.52) |
| 0.7–0.8 | 82 (0–241) | 383 (0–1290) | 1220 (0–3901) | 840 (0–2555) | 0.18 (0.00–0.62) | |
| Diagnostic specificity at clinic | 0.2–0.3 | 46 (0–132) | 326 (0–1103) | 991 (0–3113) | 649 (0–1898) | 0.13 (0.00–0.47) |
| 0.7–0.8 | 96 (1–283) | 425 (2–1363) | 1367 (1–4536) | 950 (0–2899) | 0.20 (0.00–0.67) | |
| Diagnostic sensitivity in the field | 0.2–0.3 | 71 (0–205) | 367 (0–1248) | 1153 (0–3681) | 741 (0–2162) | 0.12 (0.00–0.40) |
| 0.7–0.8 | 71 (0–207) | 367 (0–1247) | 1155 (0–3691) | 845 (0–2575) | 0.22 (0.00–0.72) | |
| Diagnostic specificity in the field | 0.2–0.3 | 71 (0–204) | 368 (0–1248) | 1161 (0–3716) | 646 (0–1890) | 0.16 (0.00–0.58) |
| 0.7–0.8 | 71 (0–205) | 367 (0–1247) | 1156 (0–3692) | 971 (0–2994) | 0.16 (0.00–0.58) | |
| Search radius in meters | 10–20 | 71 (0–206) | 44 (0–127) | 127 (0–351) | 69 (0–185) | 0.02 (0.00–0.07) |
| 20–30 | 71 (0–204) | 50 (0–146) | 141 (0–402) | 76 (0–209) | 0.03 (0.00–0.08) | |
| 30–40 | 71 (0–202) | 58 (0–168) | 156 (0–446) | 84 (0–234) | 0.03 (0.00–0.08) | |
| 40–50 | 72 (0–208) | 67 (0–196) | 185 (0–541) | 101 (0–279) | 0.03 (0.00–0.10) | |
| 50–100 | 71 (0–205) | 94 (0–275) | 253 (0–719) | 139 (0–384) | 0.04 (0.00–0.12) | |
| 100–200 | 71 (0–205) | 162 (0–476) | 442 (0–1221) | 255 (0–698) | 0.06 (0.00–0.20) | |
| 500–600 | 71 (0–206) | 362 (0–1194) | 1104 (0–3490) | 727 (0–2162) | 0.15 (0.00–0.51) | |
| 900–1000 | 71 (0–206) | 443 (0–1386) | 1420 (0–4776) | 982 (0–3095) | 0.20 (0.00–0.67) | |
| 1000–1500 | 71 (0–206) | 477 (0–1452) | 1565 (0–5351) | 1110 (0–3595) | 0.23 (0.00–0.75) |
All probability parameters were simulated uniformly over the range 0–1. Search radius was simulated uniformly over the range 1–1500. Each row represents the average of all catchment area results meeting the specified parameter range criteria. 80% credible intervals ranging from the 10th to the 90th quantiles of the averaged simulations are included in parentheses