Table 1.

Annual transition probabilities in the economic model

Transition probability	Description	Transition probabilities (Mean)	SE			Source
TP_Local-to-Localprogression_WW	From Localised to Local progression in the watchful waiting arm	0.0565	0.0098			[18, 30]
TP_ Postsurgery-to-Localprogression_RP	From Post-surgery to Local progression in the radical prostatectomy arm	0.0152+0.0012T (T: time (years) from radical prostatectomy) Additional file 1: Figure S3	Constant: 0.0026;			[18, 30]
			Slope: 0.0004 Variance-covariance matrix:
				Slope	Constant
			Slope	1.80E-07	-9.89E-07
			Constant	-9.89E-07	6.88E-06
TP_Local/Postsurgery-to-Metastatic	From Localised or from Post-surgery to metastases	0.0075		0.0010		[6, 30]
TP_Localprogression-to-Metastatic	From Local progression to metastases	0.0800		0.0050		[6, 30]
TP_DeathfromPC	From Metastases to death from prostate cancer	0.3221		0.0115		[19, 21]
TP_Deathfromothercauses	Death from other causes	New Zealand Period Life Tables: 2010–12		-		[31]