Table 1.
Outcomes | Baseline (mean ± SD) | Difference or ratio (metformin vs placebo) | Main effect (p value) | Treatment-by-visit interactiona (p value) | Effect of metformin over 3 years: clinical interpretation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary outcome | |||||
Mean cIMT(mm) | 0.782 ± 0.162 | −0.005 | 0.166 | − | No significant reduction in progression of arteriosclerosis |
Secondary outcomes | |||||
HbA1c (%) | 8.1 ± 0.8 | −0.13 | 0.006 | 0.016 | Reduction at 3 months by 0.24% (2.6 mmol/mol) (p < 0.0001) but not sustained thereafter |
HbA1c (mmol/mol) | 64.0 ± 9.0 | −1.4 | 0.006 | 0.016 | |
LDL-cholesterol (mmol/l) | 2.20 ± 0.71 | −0.13 | 0.012 | 0.310 | Sustained reduction by 0.13 mmol/l |
eGFR (ml min−1 [1.73 m]−2) | 92.0 ± 21.2 | +4.0 | <0.0001 | 0.662 | Increased 4 ml min−1 (1.73 m)−2 at 3 months, then declined in parallel with placebo; requires further investigation |
Retinopathy (two-step change from baseline) | − | 0.76 (OR) | 0.568 | − | No effect |
Weight (kg) | 84.0 ± 14.7 | −1.17 | <0.0001 | 0.274 | Sustained reduction by 1.17 kg |
Insulin dose (U/kg) | 0.65 ± 0.28 | −0.005 | 0.545 | 0.002 | After 6 months, reduced by 2 U/day (p = 0.045; post hoc analysis) |
Endothelial function (reactive hyperaemia index; AU) | 2.26 ± 0.74 | −0.06 | 0.302 | 0.566 | No significant change |
Tertiary outcomes | |||||
Severe hypoglycaemia (per patient year) | 0.16 | 1.23 (IRR) | 0.442 | − | No significant change |
Treatment satisfaction | 31.77 ± 3.94 | −0.12 | 0.668 | 0.629 | No significant change |
Maximal common cIMT(mm) | 0.918 ± 0.196 | −0.013 | 0.0093 | − | Significant reduction in progression of atherosclerosis |
Occurrence of vitamin B12 deficiency (<150 pmol/l) | − | 2.76 (HR) | 0.0094 | − | Risk of vitamin B12 deficiency more than doubled vs placebo |
Data were analysed by ANCOVA other than for carotid outcomes (repeated measures regression), retinopathy (logistic regression), hypoglycaemia (negative binomial regression) and vitamin B12 (Cox proportional hazards)
All analyses were pre-specified unless otherwise stated
aPresented for data analysed by ANCOVA only
AU, arbitrary units; eGFR, estimated GFR; IRR, incidence rate ratio