Table 3.

Information criterion statistics, for relative risk models of dengue disease, 2008–2015

Model	Deviance	p${}_D$	DIC	Deviance	p${}_D$	DIC	Deviance	p${}_D$	DIC
	Global scale 2008–2015			2008			2008
$u_i+v_i$	2098.0	268.3	2366.3	1290.5	168.5	1459.0	1428.0	191.9	1619.9
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	2097.2	267.4	2364.6	1291.3	168.7	1460.0	1427.7	190.7	1618.4
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	2097.3	267.4	2364.7	1289.8	168.2	1458.0	1427.0	192.2	1619.2
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	2097.8	267.9	2365.8	1289.5	168.7	1458.2	1427.9	191.7	1619.6
$w_i$	2098.1	268.9	2367.1	1296.2	163.3	1459.5	1428.8	196.0	1624.8
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	2098.1	268.6	2366.7	1295.7	163.5	1459.1	1429.0	194.5	1623.5
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	2098.3	268.9	2367.2	1294.5	163.3	1457.8	1429.1	194.5	1623.6
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	2098.0	269.0	2367.0	1296.2	163.7	1459.9	1428.7	196.0	1624.6
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}+{\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	2108.4	261.8	2370.2	1323.6	157.2	1480.8	1443.5	186.9	1630.5
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}$	2113.8	257.0	2370.8	1346.2	140.6	1486.9	1465.5	175.7	1641.3
${\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	2279.2	267.1	2546.3	1423.8	133.7	1557.5	1616.1	158.7	1774.8
	2010			2011			2012
$u_i+v_i$	1684.3	233.5	1917.7	1063.3	120.5	1183.8	1198.4	164.8	1363.2
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	1683.9	232.6	1916.5	1063.5	120.6	1184.1	1199.6	165.6	1365.2
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1684.4	233.8	1918.2	1063.0	119.9	1182.9	1198.2	165.6	1363.8
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1683.7	232.8	1916.5	1063.6	121.4	1185.0	1198.5	165.9	1364.5
$w_i$	1685.6	236.9	1922.5	1072.2	115.1	1187.3	1208.2	163.3	1371.4
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1686.0	236.0	1922.0	1071.0	117.4	1188.4	1207.7	163.6	1371.3
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	1686.0	236.5	1922.6	1072.2	115.9	1188.2	1208.4	163.3	1371.7
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1684.0	236.2	1920.2	1071.8	115.9	1187.7	1207.8	163.8	1371.7
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}+{\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	1694.3	227.6	1921.8	1065.9	121.0	1186.9	1206.8	156.6	1363.4
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}$	1699.1	220.5	1919.6	1077.6	100.7	1178.4	1214.9	146.8	1361.8
${\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	1823.0	228.0	2051.0	1168.5	69.3	1237.8	1332.8	119.6	1452.4
	2013			2014			2015
$u_i+v_i$	1556.9	216.5	1773.4	1582.5	216.7	1799.2	1443.9	193.5	1637.4
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	1557.8	215.3	1773.1	1581.9	216.4	1798.3	1443.2	193.3	1636.5
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1557.4	216.2	1773.6	1582.5	216.6	1799.2	1443.4	193.4	1636.8
$u_i+v_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1557.7	215.4	1773.1	1581.8	217.3	1799.1	1443.4	193.8	1637.2
$w_i$	1560.0	216.5	1776.5	1586.4	220.0	1806.4	1447.1	197.5	1644.6
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1559.9	215.4	1775.3	1584.6	219.3	1803.9	1447.1	197.2	1644.3
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_1$	1560.0	215.0	1775.0	1585.2	219.4	1804.7	1446.8	196.9	1643.7
$w_i+{\mathit{\beta }}_2$	1560.4	216.8	1777.2	1584.8	219.4	1804.2	1447.1	197.2	1644.3
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}+{\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	1570.4	202.8	1773.1	1589.6	209.7	1799.3	1452.5	179.6	1632.1
${\mathit{\beta }}_1+b_{i,1}$	1579.3	192.9	1772.2	1597.2	202.3	1799.5	1452.9	176.2	1629.1
${\mathit{\beta }}_2+b_{i,2}$	1912.6	178.8	2091.4	1764.9	200.9	1965.8	1635.3	160.2	1795.5

p ${}_D$ is defined as number of effective parameters