Table 4.

Parameter estimates (point-wise mean and 95% CI) from the selected model at annual scale, 2008–2015 period

Parameter	Year
	2008	2009	2010	2011
$\mathit{\alpha }$	−0.173 (−0.399, 0.059)	−0.305 (−0.494, −0.115)	−0.19 (−0.363, −0.007)	0.108 (−0.12, 0.332)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_u$	0.811 (0.658, 1.008)	0.323 (0.153, 0.512)	0.342 (0.199, 0.494)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_v$		0.457 (0.372, 0.543)	0.45 (0.386, 0.518)
${\mathit{\beta }}_1$	0.294 (−0.214, 0.814)	0.589 (0.168, 1.024)	0.43 (−0.041, 0.885)	−0.398 (−1.042, 0.249)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_{b_{i,1}}$				1.399 (1.063, 1.835)
$\mathit{\rho }$	0.486 (0.217, 0.868)			0.062 (0.002, 0.236)

Parameter	2012	2013	2014	2015
$\mathit{\alpha }$	0.116 (−0.11, 0.346)	−0.08 (−0.224, 0.071)	−0.093 (−0.28, 0.083)	0.049 (−0.138, 0.223)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_u$			0.5 (0.346, 0.684)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_v$			0.404 (0.322, 0.483)
${\mathit{\beta }}_1$	−0.635 (−1.367, 0.12)	0.002 (−0.496, 0.502)	0.058 (−0.39, 0.536)	−0.222 (−0.867, 0.456)
${\mathit{\sigma }}_{b_{i,1}}$	2.068 (1.601, 2. 711)	1.785 (1.469, 2.188)		2.034 (1.666, 2.506)
$\mathit{\rho }$	0.279 (0.081, 0.592)	0.314 (0.146, 0.567)		0.316 (0.141, 0.575)