Table 2.

Validation analyses: expected to give null effects of cumulative impact of introduction of CIP and licensing restrictions on rates of four different outcome measures

Outcome 2011–2015 effects	Random-effects meta-analysis Summary effect (%)	Summary 95% credible interval (%)	Posterior tail-area probability
Alcohol-related hospital admissions
2011–2015	+1.3	−1.9 to 4.4	0.43
Alcohol-related violent crimes
2011–2015	+0.8	−4.5 to 6.0	0.77
2011–2013 only	−0.9	−5.3 to 3.4	0.67
Alcohol-related sexual crimes
2011–2015	+11.9	4.2 to 19.7	<0.01
2011–2013 only	−0.8	−7.9 to 6.4	0.83
Antisocial behaviour
2011–2015	−19.7	−27.3 to −12.1	<0.01
2011–2013 only	−13.5	−19.5 to −7.4	<0.01