Table 4.
Results of multivariate Granger causality tests for different MFP and Twitter measures in forecasting future diet compliance success/failure.
| Baseline | CalDiff | CalDiff:25 | CalDiff:50 | PropDays:50 | PropDays:75 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| λ | F-stat | p | λ | F-stat | p | λ | F-stat | p | λ | F-stat | p | λ | F-stat | p | λ | F-stat | p | |
| Diet compliance measures | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| past success | 0.49 | 4.44 | *** | 0.27 | 4.58 | *** | 0.32 | 5.92 | *** | 0.33 | 4.30 | *** | 0.33 | 4.15 | *** | 0.26 | 3.72 | *** |
| calorie consumption | 0.24 | 5.64 | *** | 0.51 | 3.87 | *** | 0.41 | 4.94 | *** | 0.23 | 6.18 | *** | 0.58 | 4.45 | *** | 0.44 | 5.60 | *** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Affective attributes | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| PA | 0.05 | 5.65 | *** | 0.51 | 5 | *** | 0.33 | 6.27 | *** | 0.78 | 3.87 | ** | 0.51 | 5.88 | *** | 0.2 | 5.13 | *** |
| NA | 0.65 | 3.01 | ** | 0.16 | 3.86 | ** | 0.1 | 4.56 | *** | 0.31 | 3.39 | ** | 0.41 | 6.82 | *** | 0.25 | 4.52 | *** |
| anger | 0.58 | 5.69 | *** | 0.24 | 3.79 | ** | 0.13 | 5.08 | *** | 0.77 | 4.99 | *** | 0.16 | 3.08 | ** | 0.66 | 6.4 | *** |
| anxiety | 0.06 | 5.31 | *** | 0.23 | 5.87 | *** | 0.06 | 3.36 | ** | 0.77 | 6.49 | *** | 0.54 | 5.3 | *** | 0.5 | 3.39 | ** |
| sadness | 0.07 | 5.02 | *** | 0.79 | 6.14 | *** | 0.64 | 6.65 | *** | 0.29 | 5.78 | *** | 0.36 | 6.34 | *** | 0.51 | 3.16 | ** |
| swear | 0.75 | 0.73 | - | 0.75 | 2.01 | ** | 0.9 | 1.57 | * | 0.98 | 1.7 | * | 0.79 | 1.88 | * | 0.91 | 0.66 | - |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Cognitive attributes | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Cognition | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| cognitive_mech | 0.73 | 4.25 | *** | 0.08 | 5.24 | *** | 0.44 | 4.27 | *** | 0.52 | 3.23 | ** | 0.21 | 6.24 | *** | 0.77 | 6.39 | *** |
| discrepancies | 0.84 | 2.27 | ** | 0.74 | 0.8 | - | 0.76 | 0.56 | - | 0.89 | 1.99 | * | 0.87 | 1.1 | - | 0.82 | 2.88 | ** |
| negation | 0.92 | 0.23 | 0.84 | 0.69 | - | 0.8 | 0.9 | - | 0.91 | 0.5 | - | 0.91 | 1.76 | * | 0.71 | 0.92 | - | |
| inhibition | 0.44 | 4.96 | *** | 0.48 | 5.9 | *** | 0.52 | 4.27 | *** | 0.78 | 5.15 | *** | 0.31 | 6.96 | *** | 0.32 | 5.39 | *** |
| causation | 0.86 | 0.97 | - | 0.76 | 2.99 | ** | 0.93 | 0.13 | 0.75 | 1.6 | * | 0.83 | 0.65 | - | 0.77 | 1.35 | * | |
| certainty | 0.55 | 6.52 | *** | 0.36 | 5.87 | *** | 0.4 | 4.71 | *** | 0.14 | 4.4 | *** | 0.14 | 5.08 | *** | 0.8 | 3.52 | ** |
| tentativeness | 0.81 | 2.15 | ** | 0.97 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 0.62 | - | 0.89 | 0.36 | 0.82 | 0.1 | 0.72 | 1.2 | * | |||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Perception | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| see | 0.32 | 5.5 | *** | 0.1 | 3.51 | ** | 0.79 | 3.08 | ** | 0.76 | 4.11 | *** | 0.68 | 6.59 | *** | 0.43 | 6.96 | *** |
| hear | 0.15 | 5.41 | *** | 0.06 | 3.62 | ** | 0.36 | 5.65 | *** | 0.59 | 6.91 | *** | 0.06 | 5.13 | *** | 0.25 | 6.94 | *** |
| feel | 0.09 | 4.86 | *** | 0.33 | 6.69 | *** | 0.64 | 5.53 | *** | 0.59 | 4.67 | *** | 0.08 | 6.27 | *** | 0.27 | 4 | ** |
| percept | 0.33 | 5.4 | *** | 0.05 | 5.19 | *** | 0.38 | 5.78 | *** | 0.18 | 3.54 | ** | 0.55 | 6.79 | *** | 0.18 | 3.12 | ** |
| insight | 0.74 | 2.12 | ** | 0.89 | 1.9 | * | 0.77 | 0.09 | 0.89 | 1.37 | * | 0.92 | 2.44 | ** | 0.77 | 2.11 | ** | |
| relative | 0.72 | 1.55 | * | 0.87 | 1.39 | * | 0.9 | 2.46 | ** | 0.76 | 1.75 | * | 0.99 | 0.87 | - | 0.7 | 2.83 | ** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Lexical Density | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| verbs | 0.24 | 6.63 | *** | 0.35 | 6.63 | *** | 0.3 | 6.44 | *** | 0.26 | 3.15 | ** | 0.71 | 6.83 | *** | 0.02 | 5.23 | *** |
| auxiliary verbs | 0.26 | 3.29 | ** | 0.6 | 3.83 | ** | 0.6 | 5.72 | *** | 0.07 | 5.46 | *** | 0.12 | 3.58 | ** | 0.19 | 6.01 | *** |
| adverbs | 0.81 | 2.84 | ** | 0.89 | 2.55 | ** | 0.83 | 1.47 | * | 0.86 | 2.31 | ** | 0.89 | 2.83 | ** | 0.78 | 1.7 | * |
| prepositions | 0.96 | 2.54 | ** | 0.79 | 2.71 | ** | 0.91 | 0.61 | - | 0.98 | 1.56 | * | 0.78 | 2.85 | ** | 0.86 | 1.06 | - |
| conjunctions | 0.99 | 0.85 | - | 0.81 | 0.36 | 0.83 | 1.45 | * | 0.74 | 1.88 | * | 0.98 | 1 | - | 0.82 | 1.61 | * | |
| articles | 0.72 | 4.84 | *** | 0.52 | 6.6 | *** | 0.32 | 4.27 | *** | 0.8 | 5.62 | *** | 0.42 | 4.37 | *** | 0.7 | 5.35 | *** |
| inclusive | 0.91 | 0.57 | - | 0.94 | 2.9 | ** | 0.91 | 2.2 | ** | 0.95 | 2.1 | ** | 0.73 | 1.61 | * | 0.95 | 2.54 | ** |
| exclusive | 0.79 | 2.37 | ** | 0.75 | 0.52 | - | 0.79 | 2.24 | ** | 0.78 | 2.68 | ** | 0.85 | 0.5 | - | 0.87 | 2.82 | ** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Temporal references | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| past tense | 0.09 | 3.5 | ** | 0.01 | 5.58 | *** | 0.26 | 4.89 | *** | 0.02 | 3.2 | ** | 0.73 | 3.43 | ** | 0.25 | 3.29 | ** |
| present tense | 0.2 | 4.69 | *** | 0.48 | 6.24 | *** | 0.64 | 5.13 | *** | 0.58 | 3.64 | ** | 0.74 | 5.14 | *** | 0.07 | 6.11 | *** |
| future tense | 0.68 | 5.1 | *** | 0.74 | 6.41 | *** | 0.31 | 5.8 | *** | 0.39 | 3.32 | ** | 0.46 | 5.9 | *** | 0.09 | 6.36 | *** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Social/Personal Concerns | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| family | 0.68 | 6.48 | *** | 0.69 | 5.27 | *** | 0.15 | 6.97 | *** | 0.27 | 5.66 | *** | 0.68 | 6.55 | *** | 0.43 | 6.54 | *** |
| friends | 0.71 | 6.73 | *** | 0.23 | 3.19 | ** | 0.13 | 5.21 | *** | 0.6 | 5.04 | *** | 0.63 | 4.39 | *** | 0.55 | 5.33 | *** |
| social | 0.56 | 6.86 | *** | 0.37 | 4.22 | *** | 0.5 | 6.55 | *** | 0.75 | 3.46 | ** | 0.32 | 4.42 | *** | 0.35 | 5.14 | *** |
| work | 0.83 | 1.28 | * | 1 | 0.6 | - | 0.92 | 1.42 | * | 0.88 | 2.02 | ** | 0.74 | 2.15 | ** | 0.95 | 1.52 | * |
| health | 0.79 | 3.19 | ** | 0.55 | 6.23 | *** | 0.67 | 6.18 | *** | 0.64 | 6.91 | *** | 0.53 | 5.98 | *** | 0.04 | 3.53 | ** |
| humans | 0.91 | 1.85 | * | 0.8 | 2.62 | ** | 0.88 | 0.01 | 0.94 | 1.27 | * | 0.78 | 2.68 | ** | 0.93 | 2.7 | ** | |
| religion | 0.92 | 2.92 | ** | 0.97 | 1.97 | * | 0.76 | 2.06 | ** | 0.92 | 2.68 | ** | 0.98 | 2.38 | ** | 0.91 | 0.34 | |
| bio | 0.86 | 1.69 | * | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.98 | 1.9 | * | 0.74 | 2.83 | ** | 0.73 | 1.44 | * | 0.77 | 2.76 | ** | |
| body | 0.04 | 5.84 | *** | 0.43 | 3.21 | ** | 0.06 | 3.68 | - | 0.34 | 4.02 | *** | 0.28 | 4.37 | *** | 0.07 | 3.98 | ** |
| money | 0.94 | 1.8 | * | 0.86 | 0.31 | 0.74 | 0.61 | - | 0.85 | 0.57 | - | 0.95 | 0.63 | - | 0.82 | 0.17 | ||
| achievement | 0.25 | 3.45 | ** | 0.07 | 4.66 | *** | 0.41 | 6.64 | *** | 0.75 | 5.68 | *** | 0.6 | 4.14 | *** | 0.12 | 3.82 | ** |
| home | 0.83 | 2.83 | ** | 0.78 | 0.89 | - | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.73 | 0.01 | 0.78 | 0.79 | - | 0.71 | 0.88 | - | ||
| sexual | 0.99 | 1.01 | - | 0.84 | 0.65 | - | 0.71 | 2.81 | ** | 0.85 | 1.94 | * | 0.86 | 0.54 | - | 0.82 | 1.28 | * |
| death | 0.74 | 2.88 | ** | 0.7 | 0.57 | - | 0.77 | 1.82 | * | 0.77 | 1.97 | * | 0.71 | 1.63 | 0.82 | 1.07 | - | |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Interpersonal awareness | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| 1st p. singular | 0.48 | 5.79 | *** | 0.33 | 3.04 | ** | 0.16 | 6.63 | *** | 0.75 | 3.84 | ** | 0.56 | 5.63 | *** | 0.27 | 6.36 | *** |
| 1st p. plural | 0.12 | 3.69 | ** | 0.25 | 4.76 | *** | 0.7 | 4.72 | *** | 0.64 | 4.14 | *** | 0.25 | 5.38 | *** | 0.7 | 3.19 | ** |
| 2nd p. | 0.69 | 4.06 | *** | 0.48 | 4.28 | *** | 0.63 | 5.58 | *** | 0.35 | 6.14 | *** | 0.39 | 6.98 | *** | 0.07 | 6.06 | *** |
| 3rd p. | 0.9 | 2.57 | ** | 0.71 | 0.88 | - | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.94 | 2.83 | ** | 0.81 | 2.5 | ** | 0.96 | 2.2 | ** | |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Activity | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Interactivity | 0.67 | 6.05 | *** | 0.53 | 6.9 | *** | 0.73 | 3.89 | ** | 0.03 | 3.03 | ** | 0.13 | 5.89 | *** | 0.05 | 4.67 | *** |
| Information sharing | 0.33 | 6.44 | *** | 0.41 | 5.38 | *** | 0.59 | 5.28 | *** | 0.53 | 5.73 | *** | 0.22 | 6.28 | *** | 0.34 | 5.05 | *** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Social capital | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| # inlinks | 0.8 | 4.4 | *** | 0.03 | 3.3 | ** | 0.55 | 5.43 | *** | 0.04 | 3.85 | ** | 0.61 | 6.02 | *** | 0.6 | 4.74 | *** |
| # outlinks | 0.04 | 5.74 | *** | 0.5 | 4.69 | *** | 0.61 | 6.51 | *** | 0.55 | 3.04 | ** | 0.56 | 5.56 | *** | 0.11 | 6.77 | *** |
For each measure, we report the Wilks’ λ (likelihood ratio) statistic, Rao’s approximate F statistic, and the p value (−: p = .05; *: p = .01; **: p = .001; and ***: p = .0001). Results are shown for all six diet compliance metrics. Grey rows indicate measures for which none of the diet compliance predictions yielded Granger significance at p = .0001 level.