Fig 4. Component stages of Annual Breeding Success of young and middle-aged adults by Fish Phase.

Predictions for Sardine Phase (blue) and Flying Fish Phase (gray) shown as in Fig 3. Data are derived only from the 12 yrs of the study with detailed histories on the components of each breeding attempt. See Methods for years involved in each stage. Conditional probabilities for different stages are p(initiate a clutch | alive) (panels a, e), p(hatch an egg | clutch was initiated) (panels b, f), p(produce independent offspring | hatch) (panels c, g), and p(produce independent offspring | alive) for only the subset of years for which analysis of components was possible (panels d, h). Sample size varies by sex/response variable. Full model results given in S1, S2 and S7 Tables.