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. 2017 Apr 27;28(9):2749–2755. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2016101084

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Among all donors in the study, the full range of predicted risk of ESRD was wide, with median (IQR) range of 1 (1–2) cases per 10,000 donors at 5 years postdonation; 6 (4–11) per 10,000 at 10 years postdonation; 16 (10–29) per 10,000 at 15 years postdonation; and 34 (20–59) per 10,000 at 20 years postdonation. Predicted risk of postdonation ESRD for each donor was calculated on the basis of donor characteristics. The median donor had 34 per 10,000 predicted risk of ESRD at 20 years postdonation. Half of all donors have predicted risk between the two dashed lines, but 1% of donors had predicted 20-year ESRD risk exceeding 256 per 10,000.