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. 2017 Jun 9;7(6):e013653. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013653

Table 2.

Comparison of cost data and model validation.

Total costs, $ Item Cullen 20157 Model cohort* Model prediction† Prediction versus cohort (p value)
All n (%) 926 (100%) 719 (100%) 719 (100%)
Mean cost (95% CI) 5272 (4835 to 5708) 5303 (4796 to 5810) 5437 (4897 to 5977) 0.72
Median cost (25th to 75th percentile) 2433 (1458 to 6778) 2497 (1449 to 6663) 2169 (1747 to 6384)
Low risk n (%) 9 (1.0%) 9 (1.3%) 9 (1.3%)
Mean cost (95% CI) 2040 (1306 to 2774) 2040 (1125 to 2955) 2010 (1559 to 2460) 0.95
Median cost (25th to 75th percentile) 1530 (1298 to 3050) 1530 (1080 to 3359) 1907 (1569 to 2438)
Intermediate risk n (%) 580 (62.6%) 468 (65.1%) 468 (65.1%)
Mean cost (95% CI) 3304 (2963 to 3644) 3413 (3050 to 3775) 3755 (3288 to 4223) 0.26
Median cost (25th to 75th percentile) 1849 (1376 to 3570) 1925 (1389 to 3628) 1946 (1668 to 3270)
High risk n (%) 329 (35.5%) 242 (33.7%) 242 (33.7%)
Mean cost (95% CI) 8919 (7971 to 9867) 9081 (7878 to 10 284) 8816 (7593 to 10 040) 0.76
Median cost (25th to 75th percentile) 6452 (2650 to 11 829) 6405 (2752 to 11 309) 5566 (2355 to 11 130)

All costs referred to inflated costs in A$.

*Excluded individuals not meeting the minimum required dataset for the model

†Excluded individuals with cost outliers, missing and inconsistent data.