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. 2017 Jun 21;52(9):1159–1168. doi: 10.1007/s00127-017-1409-6

Table 4.

Crude and adjusted each one-unit increase hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for disability pension in 2001–2013 following internalizing and externalizing behavior problems during childhood and adolescence

Scale Crude model for all individuals Adjusted model for all individuals Conditional model for discordant twin pairs
n HR (95% CI) n HRa (95% CI) n HRb (95% CI)
Internalizing problems
Anxiety/depressed
 Wave 1 2074 1.10 (1.031.18) 1792 1.07 (0.97–1.17) 99 1.09 (0.94–1.28)
 Wave 2 2155 1.10 (1.051.16) 1876 1.13 (1.081.20) 87 1.13 (0.99–1.29)
 Wave 3 2247 1.08 (1.031.14) 1992 1.10 (1.041.16) 88 1.07 (0.98–1.17)
 Wave 4 1596 1.16 (1.101.22) 1398 1.16 (1.081.24) 57 1.31 (0.97–1.76)
Withdrawn/depressed
 Wave 1 2078 1.35 (1.171.56) 1796 1.31 (1.071.61) 99 1.67 (1.092.56)
 Wave 2 2172 1.23 (1.101.38) 1889 1.27 (1.111.45) 90 1.35 (1.041.74)
 Wave 3 2256 1.20 (1.071.34) 1999 1.27 (1.121.44) 89 1.13 (0.92–1.39)
 Wave 4 1598 1.34 (1.191.52) 1400 1.31 (1.121.53) 59 1.08 (0.82–1.43)
Somatic complaints
 Wave 1 2083 1.18 (0.99–1.41) 1801 1.06 (0.81–1.39) 99 1.26 (0.78–2.03)
 Wave 2 2143 1.10 (0.99–1.23) 1863 1.10 (0.96–1.25) 87 1.24 (0.92–1.68)
 Wave 3 2235 1.10 (1.00–1.24) 1982 1.15 (1.021.28) 87 1.25 (0.95–1.64)
 Wave 4 1609 1.19 (1.091.31) 1410 1.21 (1.081.37) 59 1.39 (0.96–2.00)
Externalizing problems
Rule-breaking behavior
 Wave 1 2073 1.04 (0.87–1.25) 1791 1.08 (0.85–1.38) 99 0.70 (0.43–1.15)
 Wave 2 2153 1.05 (0.94–1.17) 1869 1.04 (0.90–1.20) 89 0.92 (0.71–1.19)
 Wave 3 2243 0.98 (0.86–1.12) 1988 0.91 (0.78–1.07) 87 0.94 (0.72–1.22)
 Wave 4 1596 1.17 (1.011.35) 1398 1.02 (0.79–1.32) 57 1.18 (0.80–1.72)
Aggressive behavior
 Wave 1 2074 1.01 (0.95–1.06) 1792 1.00 (0.93–1.07) 99 0.86 (0.750.99)
 Wave 2 2153 1.02 (0.97–1.08) 1873 1.00 (0.93–1.07) 86 1.06 (0.93–1.22)
 Wave 3 2245 0.96 (0.89–1.03) 1991 0.89 (0.810.98) 88 0.96 (0.84–1.10)
 Wave 4 1596 1.13 (1.021.25) 1398 1.11 (0.97–1.26) 57 1.21 (0.88–1.67)

Significant estimates in bold

aAdjusted for sex and parental education

bAdjusted for familial factors by the analyses of discordant twin pairs