Table 3. Rankings of representative EHE definition and exposure offset combinations derived using the statistical framework, by U.S. climate region. The table values highlighted in bold are the top 5 EHE definition and exposure offset combinations for that region.
| EHE definition | Exposure offset type | Ranking and EHE effect by climate regions | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central | East North Central | North West Central | Northeast | South | Southeast | Southwest | West | ||||||||||
| Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | Rank | EHE effect (95% CI) | ||
| Daily max heat index greater than 90°F for at least 3 consecutive days | ExE1 | 10 | 13.1 (8.4, 20.4) | 7 | 19.0 (10.7, 33.8) | 6 | 21.7 (13.6, 34.7) | 10 | 10.9 (5.9, 20.3) | 14 | 5.3 (3.3, 8.6) | 14 | 4.4 (2.6, 7.3) | 4 | 10.4 (6.4, 16.9) | 7 | 7.1 (4.7, 10.7) |
| ExE2 | 13 | 12.6 (8.1, 19.7) | 6 | 19.5 (10.9, 34.7) | 5 | 22.0 (13.7, 35.3) | 11 | 9.9 (5.3, 18.3) | 11 | 5.7 (3.5, 9.5) | 12 | 4.9 (2.8, 8.3) | 2 | 11.6 (7.1, 19.0) | 8 | 7.0 (4.6, 10.6) | |
| ExE3 | 14 | 12.1 (7.7, 19.1) | 9 | 17.4 (9.7, 31.2) | 8 | 20.1 (12.4, 32.5) | 14 | 8.7 (4.7, 16.1) | 12 | 5.8 (3.5, 9.8) | 4 | 6.4 (3.5, 11.5) | 1 | 11.7 (7.1, 19.4) | 9 | 6.6 (4.4, 10.1) | |
| Lag0 | 15 | 11.3 (7.3, 17.4) | 10 | 15.6 (8.8, 27.7) | 10 | 17.3 (10.9, 27.5) | 5 | 12.6 (6.8, 23.5) | 20 | 4.6 (2.9, 7.2) | 16 | 4.3 (2.6, 7.0) | 5 | 9.5 (5.9, 15.1) | 4 | 7.4 (4.9, 11.1) | |
| Lagl | 5 | 14.8 (9.5, 23.0) | 3 | 22.6 (12.7, 40.1) | 2 | 22.3 (14.0, 35.5) | 6 | 11.8 (6.3, 22.1) | 15 | 5.2 (3.3, 8.3) | 13 | 4.4 (2.7, 7.3) | 3 | 10.9 (6.8, 17.6) | 5 | 7.4 (4.9, 11.1) | |
| Daily max and min temp greater than the 80th percentile for at least 3 consecutive days | ExEl | 6 | 14.8 (9.3, 23.5) | 12 | 13.9 (7.7, 24.8) | 11 | 16.8 (10.3, 27.2) | 9 | 11.0 (5.9, 20.6) | 19 | 4.7 (3.0, 7.4) | 9 | 5.6 (3.3, 9.5) | 7 | 7.0 (4.5, 11.0) | 13 | 5.4 (3.5, 8.3) |
| ExE2 | 7 | 14.5 (9.2, 23.0) | 13 | 13.7 (7.7, 24.4) | 12 | 16.7 (10.3, 27.0) | 13 | 9.3 (5.0, 17.2) | 16 | 4.8 (3.1, 7.4) | 7 | 5.6 (3.4, 9.3) | 8 | 6.8 (4.4, 10.6) | 14 | 5.0 (3.3, 7.8) | |
| ExE3 | 9 | 13.8 (8.7, 21.8) | 15 | 12.2 (6.9, 21.8) | 15 | 14.6 (9.0, 23.7) | 15 | 8.0 (4.3, 14.9) | 18 | 4.7 (3.0, 7.2) | 6 | 5.6 (3.4, 9.2) | 12 | 6.3 (4.0, 9.7) | 15 | 4.9 (3.2, 7.5) | |
| Lag0 | 4 | 15.2 (9.6, 24.0) | 14 | 12.5 (7.0, 22.4) | 14 | 15.1 (9.4, 24.4) | 3 | 13.0 (7.0, 24.2) | 13 | 5.1 (3.3, 8.0) | 5 | 6.0 (3.5, 10.1) | 9 | 6.6 (4.2, 10.3) | 12 | 5.6 (3.6, 8.6) | |
| Lagl | 2 | 17.0 (10.7, 27.0) | 11 | 15.3 (8.5, 27.4) | 9 | 19.4 (12.0, 31.6) | 8 | 11.5 (6.1, 21.7) | 17 | 4.8 (3.1, 7.6) | 10 | 5.5 (3.2, 9.4) | 6 | 7.9 (5.0, 12.5) | 11 | 5.8 (3.7, 9.0) | |
| Daily max temp greater than the 95th percentile for at least 2 consecutive days | ExEl | 3 | 16.1 (10.1, 25.7) | 2 | 23.5 (13.0, 42.4) | 4 | 22.8 (13.8, 37.7) | 2 | 14.0 (7.4, 26.6) | 4 | 7.1 (4.5, 11.3) | 2 | 6.2 (3.7, 10.4) | 11 | 6.6 (4.1, 10.7) | 3 | 8.0 (5.1, 12.4) |
| ExE2 | 8 | 14.4 (9.1, 22.9) | 4 | 21.7 (12.1, 39.1) | 3 | 22.8 (13.9, 37.6) | 7 | 11.6 (6.2, 21.8) | 6 | 6.4 (4.1, 10.2) | 8 | 5.6 (3.4, 9.4) | 15 | 6.0 (3.7, 9.6) | 6 | 7.4 (4.8, 11.5) | |
| ExE3 | 12 | 13.1 (8.3, 20.7) | 5 | 20.2 (11.2, 36.3) | 7 | 20.7 (12.6, 34.1) | 12 | 9.5 (5.1, 17.8) | 7 | 6.3 (4.0, 9.9) | 11 | 4.8 (2.9, 8.0) | 13 | 6.0 (3.8, 9.6) | 10 | 6.7 (4.3, 10.3) | |
| Lag0 | 11 | 13.7 (8.4, 22.5) | 8 | 18.2 (9.8, 33.6) | 13 | 15.9 (9.4, 27.0) | 1 | 14.9 (7.6, 29.0) | 3 | 7.5 (4.6, 12.2) | 1 | 7.2 (4.2, 12.5) | 14 | 6.3 (3.8, 10.5) | 2 | 8.3 (5.2, 13.2) | |
| Lagl | 1 | 18.8 (11.6, 30.6) | 1 | 31.0 (16.9, 56.7) | 1 | 24.8 (14.8, 41.7) | 4 | 13.7 (7.0, 26.9) | 2 | 7.6 (4.6, 12.4) | 3 | 6.2 (3.5, 10.8) | 10 | 6.8 (4.1, 11.3) | 1 | 9.5 (5.9, 15.1) | |
| Huth definition | ExEl | 22 | 5.5 (3.0, 10.1) | 20 | 11.0 (5.6, 21.6) | 22 | 7.7 (4.0, 14.7) | 23 | 4.6 (1.5, 14.0) | 5 | 7.3 (4.2, 12.7) | 25 | 3.6 (1.7, 7.7) | 22 | 3.0 (1.5, 6.1) | 23 | 5.1 (2.4, 10.9) |
| ExE2 | 24 | 5.3 (2.9, 9.6) | 21 | 10.6 (5.5, 20.5) | 23 | 7.4 (3.9, 13.9) | 24 | 3.8 (1.2, 11.8) | 8 | 6.8 (3.9, 11.8) | 23 | 3.7 (1.8, 7.7) | 23 | 2.9 (1.5, 5.8) | 19 | 5.4 (2.6, 11.2) | |
| ExE3 | 25 | 4.7 (2.6, 8.5) | 25 | 9.3 (4.8, 18.0) | 24 | 6.6 (3.5, 12.4) | 25 | 3.3 (1.1, 10.2) | 10 | 6.4 (3.7, 11.2) | 24 | 3.6 (1.8, 7.3) | 24 | 2.7 (1.4, 5.3) | 22 | 4.9 (2.4, 10.1) | |
| Lag0 | 23 | 5.5 (3.0, 10.3) | 23 | 10.5 (5.2, 20.9) | 25 | 5.9 (2.9, 11.9) | 21 | 5.6 (1.8, 17.2) | 9 | 6.6 (3.8, 11.7) | 22 | 3.9 (1.8, 8.5) | 25 | 2.3 (1.1, 5.2) | 24 | 4.9 (2.2, 10.9) | |
| Lagl | 21 | 5.9 (3.2, 10.8) | 16 | 13.2 (6.7, 25.8) | 21 | 8.6 (4.5, 16.7) | 22 | 5.6 (1.8, 17.3) | 1 | 8.3 (4.8, 14.4) | 21 | 4.3 (2.0, 9.1) | 21 | 3.6 (1.8, 7.4) | 25 | 4.9 (2.2, 10.9) | |
| Daily mean temp greater than mean + one std dev of climate normal for at least 3 consecutive days | ExEl | 17 | 7.7 (4.8, 12.4) | 19 | 10.4 (5.7, 18.9) | 17 | 10.8 (6.5, 17.9) | 17 | 5.6 (3.0, 10.5) | 24 | 3.2 (2.0, 5.1) | 18 | 4.2 (2.5, 6.9) | 17 | 3.7 (2.3, 5.9) | 17 | 4.2 (2.7, 6.7) |
| ExE2 | 19 | 7.4 (4.6, 11.9) | 18 | 10.6 (5.8, 19.3) | 18 | 10.2 (6.2, 16.9) | 19 | 4.6 (2.5, 8.6) | 22 | 3.2 (2.0, 5.1) | 19 | 3.8 (2.3, 6.3) | 19 | 3.7 (2.3, 5.8) | 20 | 4.1 (2.6, 6.4) | |
| ExE3 | 20 | 6.9 (4.3, 11.0) | 22 | 9.8 (5.4, 18.0) | 20 | 9.0 (5.4, 14.9) | 20 | 3.9 (2.1, 7.4) | 25 | 3.0 (1.9, 4.7) | 20 | 3.7 (2.2, 6.0) | 18 | 3.7 (2.3, 5.8) | 21 | 4.0 (2.5, 6.2) | |
| Lag0 | 18 | 7.6 (4.7, 12.3) | 24 | 9.0 (5.0, 16.4) | 19 | 10.1 (6.1, 16.6) | 16 | 6.0 (3.2, 11.4) | 23 | 3.2 (2.0, 5.1) | 17 | 4.2 (2.5, 7.0) | 20 | 3.5 (2.2, 5.5) | 18 | 4.2 (2.6, 6.6) | |
| Lagl | 16 | 8.7 (5.4, 14.0) | 17 | 12.0 (6.6, 21.6) | 16 | 11.2 (6.8, 18.5) | 18 | 5.0 (2.6, 9.5) | 21 | 3.4 (2.1, 5.4) | 15 | 4.3 (2.6, 7.1) | 16 | 3.8 (2.4, 6.0) | 16 | 4.5 (2.9, 7.2) | |