Table 3.
Sensitivity analysis: effect of age, obesity, smoking, diabetes mellitus and biological relationship in an otherwise ideal non-donor on outcomes with and without donation
| White male | White female | Black male | Black female | |
| Age 20 | ||||
| Life expectancy | 59.535 years | 64.760 years | 55.130 years | 62.076 years |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.583 | 0.352 | 1.628 | 1.227 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.734 (1.2%) | −0.471 (0.7%) | −1.003 (1.8%) | −0.958 (1.5%) |
| Added ESRD% | +2.173 (1/46) | +0.777 (1/129) | +5.43 (1/18) | +3.878 (1/26) |
| Age 60 | ||||
| Life expectancy | 23.933 | 27.752 | 21.560 | 26.767 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.489 | 0.312 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.518 (2.2%) | −0.332 (1.1%) | −0.590 (2.7%) | −0.626 (2.3%) |
| Added ESRD% | +0.954 (1/105) | +0.302 (1/331) | +1.945 (1/51) | +1.094 (1/91) |
| Age 40 | ||||
| Life expectancy | 41.1 | 45.571 | 37.236 | 43.352 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.43 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.851 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.572 (1.4%) | −0.462 (1.0%) | −0.799 (2.1%) | −0.824 (1.9%) |
| Added ESRD% | +1.59 (1/63) | +0.643 (1/155) | +3.80 (1/26) | +2.85% (1/35) |
| Age 40 smoker | ||||
| Life expectancy | 34.027 | 38.701 | 28.927 | 35.677 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.786 | 0.654 | 1.77 | 1.566 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.496 (1.5%) | −0.395 (1.0%) | −0.636 (2.2%) | −0.718 (2.0%) |
| Added ESRD% | +2.75 (1/36) | +1.405 (1/71) | +4.51 (1/22) | +4.924 (1/20) |
| Age 40, BMI 30–35 | ||||
| Life expectancy | 38.925 | 43.243 | 33.130 | 40.885 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.497 | 0.356 | 1.29 | 0.994 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.545 (1.4%) | −0.418 (0.97%) | −0.716 (2.2%) | −0.758 (1.9%) |
| Added ESRD% | +1.80 (1/56) | +0.786 (1/127) | +4.736 (1/21) | +3.28 (1/30) |
| Age 40, biological | ||||
| Life expectancy | 40.992 | 45.435 | 37.127 | 43.191 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.634 | 0.424 | 1.359 | 1.222 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.655 (1.6%) | −0.504 (1.1%) | −0.944 (2.5%) | −0.940 (2.2%) |
| Added ESRD% | +2.22% (1/45) | 0.927% (1/107) | +5.07 (1/20) | +3.91 (1/26) |
| Age 40, non-biological | ||||
| Life expectancy | 41.361 | 45.913 | 37.525 | 43.749 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 0.131 | 0.09 | 0.319 | 0.27 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.378 (0.9%) | −0.354 (0.78%) | −0.488 (1.3%) | −0.583 (1.3%) |
| Added ESRD% | +0.522 (1/191) | +0.21 (1/476) | +1.46 (1/69) | +1.02 (1/98) |
| Age 40, diabetes mellitus | ||||
| Life expectancy | 35.051 | 38.395 | 31.258 | 37.431 |
| Cumulative ESRD% | 1.331 | 1.46 | 2.61 | 2.24 |
| Lost with donation, years | −0.889 (2.5%) | −0.764 (2.0%) | −1.162 (3.7%) | −1.239 (3.3%) |
| Added ESRD% | +4.48 (1/22) | +3.01 (1/33) | +8.45 (1/12) | +6.866 (1/15) |
BMI, body mass index; ESRD, end-stage renal disease.