Table 3. Area under curves (AUC) as a measure of predictive strength for risk-prediction models based on different indicators.

	AUC	95% CI	PAUC	Pa
NJMU GWAS
Epidemiologic model	0.61	0.597–0.623	1
Genetic model	0.653	0.639–0.668	< 0.001
The extended model	0.697	0.683–0.711	< 0.001	0.483
The EAGLE study
Epidemiologic model	0.625	0.613–0.637	1
Genetic model	0.558	0.540–0.576	< 0.001
The extended model	0.647	0.630–0.664	0.004	0.662
The two data sets
Epidemiologic model	0.625	0.615–0.634	1
Genetic model	0.604	0.593–0.616	< 0.001
The extended model	0.658	0.647–0.669	< 0.001	0.792

^aCalculated by Hosmer-Lemeshow test.