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. 2017 Sep 7;7:10783. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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CMIP5 multi-model ensemble average wintertime change in (a) surface air temperature; (b) mean horizontal integrated water vapor transport (IVT); (c) mean sea level pressure. Values are computed over the period 2060–2089, relative to the historical period 1960–1989, using the RCP8.5 forcing scenarios. Black boxes indicate the max latitude and longitude extent of the Mediterranean-climate regions. Figure was plotted using NCAR Command Language Version 6.3.0 (NCL; ref. 31).

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