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. 2017 Sep 7;7(9):e014509. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014509

Table 1.

Input parameters for simulation models

Parameter Resources Mean and (SD) Data source/comments
VFC Steps VFC arrival rates (33% discharged ED) 12 patients per day Historical data analysis- patients discharged at ED figure 1 One-third of patients discharged at ED so only 12 at VFC
Admin 1 Admin 1.06 min (0.64) Direct observation
Nurse Prep Nurse 1.61 min (0.7)
VFC consultant review Consultant 1.75 min (0.95)
Nurse
Nurse calls Nurse 8 min (4)
Admin 2 Admin 2.5 min (1.7)
Admin letters and appointments Admin 2.9 min (1.35) Around one-third of patients will still follow the traditional pathway. All others have been discharged.
Discharge advice letters Admin 2.33 min (0.5) Direct observation
Helpline call arrival rate Nurse 2.6 per day
Helpline call duration Nurse 4.5mins (0.15)
VFC decision point Discharged 50% Historical data analysis
Referred to consultant clinic 40%
Referred to N/L clinic 10%
Staffing: Consultants 1
Nurses 1
Admin 2
Typists 1
TFC Steps ED/MIU arrival rates 18 patients per day Historical data—all patients (figure 2)
X-ray 14 min (5) Historical data
Nurse prep Nurse 1.61 (0.7)
Consultant consultation Consultant 12 min Observation
Second consultation Consultant 3 min Expert opinion/observation
Nurse consultation Nurse 20 min
Discharge admin Admin 6 min
Assessment routing: Admitted 1% Expert opinion: Much of these routing values are based on the clinical mix of patients and therefore does not warrant sensitivity analysis. As stated in the text, one limitation of this work is that the clinical mix for the new virtual pathway is that these routings are likely to be different as the simplest injuries have been discharged.
X-ray 3%
Treatment 72%
Discharge 24%
Treatment routing
X-ray 6%
Second consultation 93%
Discharge routing
Discharged 36%
Return appointment 64%
Staffing: Consultants 3 Sensitivity analysis was necessary here in terms of the number of staff required to ensure all patients were seen within the allocated session time. These values represent the necessary staffing required.
Nurses 3
Admin 2
Typists 4
BOTH Shifts Admin1 (VFC) 07:30–08:15 For printing off lists only
Admin 1 (TFC) 07:45–09:00 Longer shift as higher volume of patients
Consultant (14) 09:00–13:00 4-hour consultant session
Nurse (8) 08:00–16:00 Average Full Time nurse working hours
Typists 09:00–17:00 Discharge letters to General Practitioner and patient (Mon–Fri)
Admin 2 11:00–16:00 For issuing letters only
Hourly rates GRI consultant £62.91 Average for GRI orthopaedic consultants. Obtained from GGC finance dept. for 2014/15. Include 23% employer costs
Nurse £20.96 Based on April 2014 figures. They have 23% employer costs added and are then divided by 42 weeks. GRI staffing levels based on average of 8 nurses (B7, B6 and B5×6).
Admin £12.74 Average
Admin 2 £16.22 Average
Efficiency 85% Sensitivity analysis shows the effects of this on cost
Clock Hours 1 year as we had historical data for this time period
Warm-up period 168 hours Tests completed to ensure model in steady state73

ED, emergency department; GRI, Glasgow Royal Infirmary; MIU, minor injuries unit; TFC, traditional fracture clinic; VFC, virtual fracture clinic.