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. 2017 Sep 12;16:368. doi: 10.1186/s12936-017-2019-1

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 4 — Model validation exercise showing the effects of changes in programme coverage in the model on epidemiological outcomes. Programme coverage data were available for 2010 and 2015 [19, 37]. The model was calibrated to epidemiological and programme coverage data from 2010 and then projected forward by linearly varying the coverage of programmes to 2015 values