Table 5.
Observed Data
| ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
d.f. | L2 | BIC | AIC | Δ | ϕk across Cohorts | |||
1980–1983 | 1984–1986 | 1987–1989 | ||||||
|
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(6) WC, HC | 48 | 986.88 | 647.65 | 890.88 | 0.35 | |||
(7) WC, HC, M, constant ϕk over C | 43 | 364.91 | 61.01 | 278.91 | 0.16 | |||
(8) WC, HC, M, varying ϕk over C | 41 | 360.99 | 71.23 | 278.99 | 0.15 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.20 |
(9) Model 2 + D | 40 | 38.17 | −244.52 | −41.83 | 0.05 | |||
(10) Model 3 + D | 32 | 31.97 | −194.18 | −32.03 | 0.03 | 1 | 0.92 | 1.81 |
| ||||||||
Counterfactual based on IPF
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d.f. | L2 | BIC | AIC | Δ | ϕk across Cohorts | |||
1980–1983 | 1984–1986 | 1987–1989 | ||||||
|
||||||||
(6) WC, HC | 48 | 1337.49 | 984.30 | 1241.49 | 0.36 | |||
(7) WC, HC, M, constant ϕk over C | 43 | 525.07 | 208.67 | 439.07 | 0.16 | |||
(8) WC, HC, M, varying ϕk over C | 41 | 519.54 | 217.85 | 437.54 | 0.16 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.18 |
(9) Model 2 + D | 40 | 67.03 | −227.30 | −12.97 | 0.05 | |||
(10) Model 3 + D | 32 | 56.69 | −178.77 | −7.31 | 0.04 | 1 | 0.48 | 1.65 |
Data Source: the Shanghai Post-’80 Generation Survey
Note: W=wife’s education; H=husband’s education; C=cohorts; M=main diagonal; D=distance from the main diagonal; d.f. = degree of freedom; L2=the log likelihood ratio chi-square statistic; BIC= Bayesian information criterion; AIC= Akaike information criterion; Δ=the dissimilarity index between observed and predicted frequencies. N=1173.