Table 3.
Model-based predictions of nursing home use and out-of-pocket costs from age 57 to end of life
| 95% confidence interval | |||
| Nursing home use and OOP spending | Mean | Lower | Upper |
| Lifetime NH use | |||
| Percent with any lifetime use | 57.7 | 56.0 | 59.8 |
| Mean no. of nights | 225 | 210 | 243 |
| Percentiles | |||
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 75 | 224 | 195 | 252 |
| 90 | 776 | 743 | 828 |
| 95 | 1,139 | 1,069 | 1,256 |
| Lifetime OOP spending | |||
| Percent with any OOP spending | 31.0 | 29.7 | 32.6 |
| Mean dollars | 6,201 | 5,654 | 6,872 |
| Percentiles | |||
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 75 | 2,106 | 1,676 | 2,734 |
| 90 | 18,039 | 16,042 | 21,116 |
| 95 | 43,421 | 37,588 | 47,684 |
“95% confidence interval” gives the lower and upper bounds for the 95% confidence intervals. “Mean no. of nights” gives average lifetime number of nights in nursing home, averaged over all individuals, not just those with nursing home use. “OOP spending” means out-of-pocket spending on nursing home use. Spending is expressed in 2013 dollars as a present value at age 57 with a real discount rate of 3%. NH, nursing home; OOP, out-of-pocket.