Table 5.

Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for death at different thresholds of predicted risk of death over one year in validation cohort

Threshold	Risk threshold %	True negative (count)	False negative (count)	False positive (count)	True positive (count)	Sensitivity (%)	Specificity (%)	Positive predictive value (%)	Negative predictive value (%)
Top 1%	58.3	436 007	58 477	2025	2969	4.8	99.5	59.5	88.2
Top 2%	47.0	433 741	55 748	4291	5698	9.3	99.0	57.0	88.6
Top 3%	40.2	431 282	53 212	6750	8234	13.4	98.5	55.0	89.0
Top 4%	35.4	428 786	50 713	9246	10 733	17.5	97.9	53.7	89.4
Top 5%	31.7	426 128	48 377	11 904	13 069	21.3	97.3	52.3	89.8
Top 10%	20.3	411 084	38 447	26 948	22 999	37.4	93.8	46.0	91.4
Top 15%	14.3	393 760	30 797	44 272	30 649	49.9	89.9	40.9	92.7
Top 20%	10.6	374 710	24 873	63 322	36 573	59.5	85.5	36.6	93.8
Top 25%	8.2	354 411	20 198	83 621	41 248	67.1	80.9	33.0	94.6
Top 30%	6.4	333 225	16 410	104 807	45 036	73.3	76.1	30.1	95.3
Top 35%	5.1	311 237	13 424	126 795	48 022	78.2	71.1	27.5	95.9
Top 40%	4.2	288 786	10 901	149 246	50 545	82.3	65.9	25.3	96.4
Top 45%	3.4	265 826	8887	172 206	52 559	85.5	60.7	23.4	96.8
Top 50%	2.9	242 548	7191	195 484	54 255	88.3	55.4	21.7	97.1