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. 2017 Sep 20;7:11983. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-12133-9

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Spatial profile of water scarcity and stream temperature over near-term projection horizons. (A) Projected changes in low surface runoff (10^th percentile of all climate realizations [see Methods]) during 2006–2020 (top), 2011–2025 (middle), and 2021–2035 (bottom), relative to current estimates (1991–2005). Calculations are performed in MATLAB 2015a (Version 8.5, http://www.mathworks.com) [Software]. Shades of blue show positive changes in future freshwater availability relative to current estimates, but they do not necessarily indicate water surplus. (B) Same as in (A) but for projected changes in high stream temperature (90^th percentile of all climate simulations). The red (blue)-colored upward (downward) triangles in (B) indicate increase (decrease) in stream temperature. (C) Same as in (A) but for projected changes in 2-meter surface air temperature (90^th percentile). Spatial patterns of current estimates are shown in Figures S1, S2 and S4. Maps are generated using MATLAB 2015a (Version 8.5, http://www.mathworks.com) and ArcGIS Desktop (Version 10.3.1, http://www.esri.com). Finally, all these maps are organized and labelled in Adobe Photoshop CS Desktop (Version 5.1, https://www.adobe.com) [Software].