Table 3.
Type of relative for whom chance of recurrence estimated | Estimated probability of recurrence | Estimated chance of ≥50% N(%) | Overestimated chance* N(%) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Min | Max | Mean | Mode | |||
Children | 5 | 100 | 39 | 50 | 51(46) | 70(63) |
Siblings | 5 | 80 | 30 | 50 | 30(27) | ---- |
Assuming a 28% chance for a child of a person with alcohol addiction to develop alcohol addiction themselves (based on the current population frequency of 7% for alcohol use disorders (National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, 2015) and the reported four-fold increased risk for children of (Russell, 1990)