Table 6. Multinomial logistic regression analysis examining predictors of composite trajectories derived from combining longitudinal latent classes (n=1275).

	Odds ratio (95%, CI)
	Persisting morbidity (n=555, 43.5)		Incident (new onset) (n=170, 13.3)		Recovery (n=299, 23.5)
Compared with low-symptom trajectory (n=251, 19.7)	OR (95% CI)	P	OR (95% CI)	P	OR (95% CI)	P
Follow-up predictors
Step 1
Socio-demographic characteristics
Gender (ref. men)	1.79 (1.20–2.69)	<0.01	1.82 (1.19–2.78)	<0.01	0.65 (0.44–0.96)	0.032
Age (ref: 18–30)
⩾60	1.33 (0.70–2.53)	0.389	1.44 (0.73–2.84)	0.289	0.24 (0.12–0.51)	<0.001
51–60	1.20 (0.63–2.27)	0.576	1.71 (0.89–3.31)	0.109	0.38 (0.19–0.74)	<0.01
41–50	1.01 (0.56–1.85)	0.964	1.07 (0.57–2.02)	0.827	0.52 (0.28–0.96)	<0.05
31–40	0.73 (0.42–1.26)	0.264	0.81 (0.45–1.45)	0.481	0.74 (0.44–1.25)	0.261
Never married (single/other)	0.87 (0.42–1.79)	0.701	0.50 (0.21–1.17)	0.109	1.36 (0.71–2.63)	0.356
Educational attainment
Completed university/college education	0.17 (0.02–1.50)	0.112	0.22 (0.02–2.00)	0.180	3.80 (0.31–46.90)	0.298
Completed high school	0.68 (0.16–2.90)	0.598	0.59 (0.13–2.62)	0.488	3.64 (0.35–38.03)	0.280
Completed primary school	0.78 (0.18–3.37)	0.741	0.81 (0.18–3.61)	0.786	2.75 (0.26–28.98)	0.399
Step 2
Traumatic exposure	1.18 (1.13–1.23)	<0.001	1.24 (1.19–1.29)	<0.001	0.99 (0.95–1.04)	0.818
Step 3
Ongoing adversities
Shortage of food	1.28 (0.89–1.86)	0.188	1.29 (0.88–1.91)	0.191	0.81 (0.56–1.19)	0.288
Job loss	1.77 (1.23–2.55)	<0.01	1.39 (0.95–2.04)	0.086	1.30 (0.89–1.89)	0.176
Limited access to health services	2.10 (1.29–3.29)	<0.001	2.40 (1.41–4.18)	<0.001	0.89 (0.59–1.66)	0.973
Improved safety in the community	0.88 (0.57–1.36)	0.563	0.69 (0.44–1.09)	0.112	0.90 (0.56–1.43)	0.657